Central New Mexico Weather: 5/23/22


I will continue to post about New Mexico weather, as I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.

Yesterday was sunny, warm and breezy in Rio Rancho.

This morning, the weather is cloudy, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 49 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, but then decreasing to 5-10 mph by midnight. Rio Rancho is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with some patchy smoke and a low temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the north at 15-20 mph, becoming northwesterly at 5-10 mph by midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a smoky, mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with smoky and a low temperature of 47 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph, becoming northerly by midnight. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Air Quality Alerts as well as Fire Weather Watches posted for tomorrow. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows mostly cloudy skies over the state this morning.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a low-amplitude trough to our north.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, moderately humid weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). A few stations are reporting clouds, along the eastern edge of the state.The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under low pressure with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows this trend will continue as the center of the low pressure moves east over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light to moderate, zonal to northwesterly flow over the state today. There is a low-amplitude trough approaching from the west.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows a few thunderstorms developing, particularly near the eastern border of the state.

Heavy rainfall may be possible with the strongest of these storms, though they are nowhere near the large forest fires, unfortunately.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 80s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will rise from the 20s F to the 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy, with some strong gusts near the strongest storms.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a mostly cloudy day for the northern half of the state.

Today will be mostly cloudy, warm and breezy. I am intrigued by the storms in the eastern part of the state, but I’ve already made a commitment to go into work today, so I won’t be chasing them, unfortunately. I’m wondering if the NAM is overestimating the rainfall on the strongest cell, as it is calling for quite a bit (over 4 inches).

I will commute to and from Socorro today in the buses and trains, but will probably remain inside once I am there.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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