Central New Mexico Weather: 12/14/18

Yesterday was cool and mostly sunny.  By midday, the winds had decreased in Socorro.

This morning has been cold, clear and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 50 F.  Winds will be from north at 5 mph, becoming southwest by the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming calm.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 51 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph,becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph becoming northwest by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny, with a high temperature of 48 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 23 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows no clouds over the Rio Grande River Valley.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

 

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no nearly-saturated layers.  There was 0.10 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1259 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.3 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 10 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 53 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong northwesterly flow as a low-amplitude ridge passes over the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will hover around 0 F today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely in the Rio Grande River Valley today.  This chart has been excluded from today”s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will begin to cloud up by late afternoon, as clouds roll in from the west.

Today will be sunny in the morning, but cloud up by this evening.  Precipitation and strong winds are unlikely.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 12/13/18

Yesterday was cool, mostly cloudy and windy.  Last night, there was a brief rain shower in Rio Rancho, which I was not expecting.

This morning has been cold, mostly clear and windy.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 43 F.  Winds will be from northwest at 10-15 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 46 F.  Winds will be from the north at 20-25 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 22 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 41 F.  Winds will be from the north at 20-25 mph, gusting as high as 35 mph, but then decreasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 14 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a number of wind-related products this morning.  Strong, damaging winds are possible through this afternoon for much of the Albuquerque NWS Watch area.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows that there are cloudy skies over the southeastern corner of the state, but clear skies over the Rio Grande River Valley.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly-saturated layer between 700 and 500 mb.  There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1113 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.1 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 63 kts deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are moderate and roughly from the north.

 

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with a tight pressure gradient over most of the state.  The RAP shows that the pressure gradient will shift east over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong northerly flow as the trailing edge of the trough passes over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 40s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will hover around 0 F today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley will continue this morning, tapering off by the late afternoon and early evening hours.

The HRRR shows that the skies will continue to clear throughout the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be cold and windy to start, becoming cold and sunny by the afternoon.  Not a fan of this type of cold weather…

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 12/12/18

Yesterday was cool, mostly cloudy and still.

This morning has been cool, mostly clear and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 56 F.  Winds will be from west at 20-25 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 25-35 mph, gusting to 45 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 60 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 20-25 mph, increasing to 30-35 mph and gusting to 50 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 56 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph, and gusting to 35 mph this afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 30-35 mph, gusting to 50 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a number of wind-related products this morning.  A fast-moving cold front is expected to pass through the state this evening, bringing with it strong winds.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows that the bulk of the clouds have moved out of the state, leaving behind mostly clear skies this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no nearly-saturated layers.  There was 0.28 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 759 m.  There was a thick thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 27 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with a tight pressure gradient in the northern part of the state.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, weakening the gradient.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving in from the northwest this evening.  This is our rapidly-moving cold front.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 21 Z, reaching into the mid 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will reach into the mid 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley will be possible this afternoon and evening.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain clear, with a few clouds in the late afternoon.   Even so, these clouds will probably become obscured by blowing dust.

Today will be a windy, unpleasant day.  It won’t be super cold, but these winds are going to make it miserable to be outside.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 12/11/18

Yesterday was cool, sunny and still.

This morning has been cool, mostly cloudy and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day with a high temperature of 52 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming north by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day with a high temperature of 55 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 31 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming northwest by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly cloudy day with a high temperature of 53 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 30 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning patchy, dense fog this morning.  They have also issued a Special Weather Statement concerning a strong cold front that will bring snow to the northeastern part of the state, and gusty winds elsewhere.  I will post more about the cold front tomorrow.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows the entire state is under heavy cloud cover this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with a tight pressure gradient in the northeastern part of the state.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, weakening the gradient.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will reach into the upper 20s F this evening.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain cloudy all day, with a few breaks late this evening.

Today will be a cool, cloudy and still day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 12/10/18

Yesterday was cool, sunny and breezy.  I did a little yardwork in the afternoon.

This morning has been cool, sunny and a bit breezy.  My weather station is down, so I can’t say more than that.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 48 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming southwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 50 F.  Winds will be northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 48 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming southwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning patchy, freezing fog this this morning.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  Also, the surface temperature is cold enough to fool the infrared sensors.  These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with a nearly saturated boundary layer.  There was 0.14 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 377 m.  There was a no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.1 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 42 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will cloud up this afternoon, and remain cloudy all evening.

Today will be a cool day to be outside, but we will likely see a warming trend later this week.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week #49

This week’s Satellite Image of the Week shows cold air draining off the continent, particularly on the east coast.

This is the same effect as last week, but I found another good example of it.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

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Central New Mexico Weather: 12/9/18

I had a smooth flight from San Diego, at least I think so.  I slept the whole flight.

This morning has been cool, sunny and a bit breezy.  My weather station is down, so I can’t say more than that.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming light and northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning patchy, freezing fog this evening.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state.  The white patch in the southeast is snow on the ground.  The white patch in the northwest is snow that is sublimating and forming a few clouds.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with no nearly-saturated layers.  There was 0.19 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 450 m.  There was a no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.7 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 21 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 73 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are steady from the northwest.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a cool day to be outside, but I will do a little yardwork later today anyhow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment