New Mexico Weather: 12/14/17

In Socorro yesterday, the weather was mostly sunny, calm and mild.

This morning has been cold, mostly sunny and still. There were high clouds over Albuquerque.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 22 F. Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming north by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 18 F.  Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F. Winds will be from the east at 5 mph becoming north after midnight.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning an upper-level disturbance that could bring up to 2 inches of snow to the northern mountains by this evening.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows high, cool-topped clouds over the northern and northwestern parts of the state associated with the approaching upper-level disturbance.

The water vapor imagery shows deeper moisture bunched up ahead of the upper-level disturbance.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 7 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 39 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is still high pressure over most of the state today and that there is a moderate pressure gradient from the northeastern corner to the southwestern parts of the state.  The RAP shows that both higher pressure and a moderate gradient are expected to linger for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows that the trough extends directly through the state from northeast to southwest.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows Positive Vorticity Advection (PVA) moving through the state from west to east ahead of the upper-level disturbance.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is possible in the north central part of the state today by 00 Z.  This will likely be snow, due to the elevation of this region.

Today will be cooler, windier and generally less pleasant than the last few days have been in the Rio Grande River Valley.  I am looking forward to getting ahead of this system and hopefully avoiding winter weather on our Christmas vacation road trip to the east coast.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Advertisements
Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Mexico Weather: 12/13/17

In Socorro yesterday, the weather was mostly sunny, calm and mild.

This morning has been cold, sunny and still.  It was a cloudless sky again this morning.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F. Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  Winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming northwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.   This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. Winds will be from the south at 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning an upper-level disturbance that could bring light snow to the northern mountains tonight and Thursday.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows light, nearly uniform moisture over the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 15 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 10 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure with no strong pressure gradients exist over the state today.  The RAP shows that high pressure will weaken with diurnal heating over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows virtually no flow aloft over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong movement of the cold front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a mild, sunny, and still day over the entire state.  High pressure will dominate and the flow aloft is virtually none.  However, the high pressure is weakening, and we do have a new trough forming over Utah, which may play a role in our weather tonight and through this weekend.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Mexico Weather: 12/12/17

In Socorro yesterday, the weather was mostly sunny and mild, with a slight breeze.

This morning has been cold, sunny and still.  It was a cloudless sky.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F. Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 52 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming southwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.   This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows light, nearly uniform moisture over the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.13 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 7 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 18 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). There are quite a few negative dewpoints again today.  It is dry at the surface.  The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure with no strong pressure gradients exist over the state today.  The RAP shows that high pressure will linger for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows virtually no flow aloft over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong movement of the cold front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a warm, mostly sunny, and still day over the entire state.  High pressure will dominate and the flow aloft is virtually none.  If this looks like a repeat from yesterday, that would be a good observation on your part.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Mexico Weather: 12/11/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, still and mild.

This morning has been cold, mostly sunny and still.  There were quite  few high clouds, but they barely block any sunlight at all.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 25 F. Winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming north in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 22 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.   This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 25 F. Winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows light, high clouds over much of the state this morning.

The infrared satellite imagery shows a few thicker clouds in the southern part of the state.

The water vapor imagery shows damp air over the southern half of the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere over Albuquerque, so the damp air did not extend that far north.  There was 0.07 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 8 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 7 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). Notice the negative dewpoints!  It is dry at the surface.  The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure with no strong pressure gradients exist over the state today.  The RAP shows that high pressure will linger for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows virtually no flow aloft over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong movement of the cold front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a warm, mostly sunny, and still day over the entire state.  High pressure will dominate and the flow aloft is virtually none.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Mexico Weather: 12/10/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, still and mild.

This morning has been cool, sunny and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 24 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  Winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming northwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.   This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 24 F. Winds will be calm, becoming north at 5 mph by midnight.

The visible satellite imagery  shows very few clouds.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows a few thicker clouds in the southern part of the state.  These are not showing up on visible satellite imagery due to the low sun angle in the morning, but they show up on infrared.

The water vapor imagery shows extremely dry air over the middle of the state this morning.  However, there is some moisture in the south.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning as well.  There was 0.10 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.3 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 8 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 25 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure and no strong pressure gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that high pressure will linger for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows moderate zonal flow over the state this morning.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong movement of the cold front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

It is warming up, and I should have mentioned that yesterday.  Today will be mild, sunny and still for the entire state.  I will do a few things outside this morning and may go for a run, if I get a chance.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Satellite Image of the Week #49

I figured out how to make animated loops (or rather to download animated gifs) from the College of DuPage.  There’s actually a button to do so, but I’ve been too lazy to play with it.

Anyway, the Satellite Image of the Week is actually an animated image of the tail end of the snow storm that struck the east coast.  As it animates, you can see the snow storm moving to the east, and the upper level winds moving stronger convection to the northeast.  If you look at the western corner of Georgia, you can see snow in the Appalachians.  As the day progresses, you can see the snow melt (less white reflections).

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

Posted in Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Mexico Weather: 12/9/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, still and cold.

This morning has been cold, sunny and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 25 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.   This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 25 F. Winds will be from the wet at 5 mph, becoming north in the late evening.

 

The visible satellite imagery and infrared satellite imagery show very few clouds.  These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows a dry air over the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning as well.  There was 0.15 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 11 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 30 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies were clear and sunny over the state.  Winds were light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure and no strong pressure gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that high pressure will linger for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows moderate northerly flow in the northern part of the state, and zonal flow everywhere else.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong movement of the cold front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that measurable precipitation is possible in the very southern part of the state by 00Z.

It’s another cold day in New Mexico, but it is a little warmer than yesterday.  We are in a slight warming trend, but seasonal temperatures are expected today.  The winds will remain light, our skies clear and high pressure will dominate throughout the day.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment