Central New Mexico Weather: 6/16/19

Yesterday was mostly sunny and warm.  However, we did get a brief thunderstorm in the afternoon.  I need to get a rain gauge in place so I can see how much rain we receive.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

A weak storm system over the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles will increase the convective coverage over the state as compared to yesterday, especially east of the central mountain range.  Storms are expected to remain below severe limits.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F.  The winds will be light and variable, becoming southwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 91 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 84 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The Albuquerque, NM, NWS Office has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon.  Strong thunderstorms are possible, with small hail and gusty outflow winds as the primary threats.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an inverted v shape, with a moisture peak at 550 mb.  There was 0.69 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1022 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.1 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 2 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 14 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and high surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that pressure will drop slightly with diurnal heating over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows all sorts of garden-variety showers and thunderstorms popping up by 21 Z.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will decrease through the afternoon, dropping from the mid 40s F to the lower 30s F.

The HRRR shows that a few strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that clouds are possible, depending on storm coverage.

Today is going to be hot, though afternoon showers and thunderstorms are possible and may cool things off a bit.  Storm coverage is larger than yesterday.  Either way, JoAnna and I are going hiking later this morning.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week 2019 #24

This week’s image was taken this morning. It is an enhanced water vapor image over the southwest.

This image shows the shortwave trough currently impacting the desert southwest. Notice the shades of blue (representing more moisture) making their way east into New Mexico and Colorado. This damper atmosphere is behind the leading edge of the trough.

As the trough passes through the area, temperatures will cool slightly, and become damper and cloudier.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

Central New Mexico Weather: 6/15/19

Yesterday was hot and sunny all day.  I spent most of it indoors.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

The mid-level trough is bringing in slightly cooler temperatures and more moisture as it passes through our area.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 89 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The Albuquerque, NM, NWS Office has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon.  Strong thunderstorms are possible in the west, and severe thunderstorms are possible in the northeastern part of the state.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight Risk for severe weather, and it includes the very northeastern corner of the state.  The primary threats will be large hail and gusty winds.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds this morning, with a healthy cumulus field over the southeastern corner of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.21 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2391 m.  There was a  tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 7.2 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 21 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 34 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that pressure will drop with diurnal heating over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northerly to northwesterly flow as the shortwave trough moves through the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is possible over most of the state today.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 90s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will increase this afternoon, with dewpoints reaching into the 30s F.

The HRRR shows that a few strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that clouds are possible, depending on storm coverage.

Today is going to be hot, but slightly cooler than yesterday.  I will probably go for a run in a few minutes and maybe work in my garden for a bit.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 6/14/19

Yesterday was warm and sunny, but then clouded up in the mid afternoon.

This morning has been sunny, hot and quite windy.

A mid-level trough is moving into the state from the west, bringing with it breezy conditions.  As the trough moves through the area this weekend, clouds and moisture will increase.  While temperatures are high today, they will drop with the passing of this trough.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 94 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 96 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 89 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The Albuquerque, NM, NWS Office has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning hot and breezy conditions, especially in the eastern part of the state this afternoon.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for a few areas  in Western New Mexico.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds this morning, particularly over the eastern half of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows dry conditions in the boundary layer, but a moisture peak at 450 mb.  There was 0.43 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2391 m.  There was a  tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 7.3 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 17 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows hot temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are moderate and from the southwest.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under low pressure with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will continue to drop due to diurnal heating.

 

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 90s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will steadily decrease throughout the day.  The dewpoints will reach 10 F by this evening.

The HRRR shows that a few strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that clouds are possible, particularly north of I-40, by this afternoon.

Today is going to be hot.  I’m late posting this as I spent most of the morning debating whether to go for a run, opting not to, because of the heat.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 6/13/19

Yesterday was hot and sunny all day.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

Temperatures are a little warmer today.  There is a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms in the northeastern corner of the state.  Drier air is pushing in from the west, and that will make today and tomorrow gusty and hot.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 92 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The Albuquerque, NM, NWS Office has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning strong storms, particularly in the northeastern corner of the state.  Primary threats will be heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds this morning, particularly over the eastern half of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a relatively humid atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.64 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1784 m.  There were several tiny thermal inversions near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.6 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 22 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 25 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and moderate surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that a thermal low will develop over southern Colorado and northern New Mexico, generating a moderate pressure gradient over most of the state by this afternoon.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly to zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows a few storms firing over the I-25 corridor by 21 Z.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 90s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will steadily decrease throughout the day.  The dewpoints are in the upper 30s F, but will drop to the lower 30s F by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows that a few strong wind gusts are possible today, particularly east of the central mountain chain.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will cloud up by the early afternoon.

A few showers and thunderstorms are possible today.  Otherwise, it will be hot and breezy all day.  It isn’t mentioned in any of the outlooks, but the wildfire threat will increase today and tomorrow.  We had a small fire in Socorro, and there is still one in the foothills of the Sandias.  These may increase in coverage with the wind today.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 6/12/19

Yesterday was warm and sunny all day.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

Temperatures are a little cooler today, due to the passage of an overnight backdoor cold front.  While the front has passed, there will be some light breeze  behind the front.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a relatively dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.41 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2018 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 10 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 40 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and moderate surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.  The figure is not loading properly at this time.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that the backdoor cold front has passed, and Cold Air Advection (CAA) has weakened.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will steadily decrease throughout the day.  The dewpoints are in the upper 30s F, but will drop to the lower 30s F by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will remain mostly clear during the morning and early afternoon, with some clouds creeping in from the west by this evening.

Today will be a bit cooler than yesterday, but a pleasant day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 6/11/19

Yesterday remained cloudy and breezy all day.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

Today will be warmer than yesterday, and there may be a few isolated storms along the higher terrain.  Another weaker back door cold front is expected to move through the eastern part of the state this evening, which will drop temperatures slightly.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest at 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 15-20 mph, becoming north at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 91 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 84 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for this evening, as a few thunderstorms may approach severe limits.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows humid conditions under 450 mb.  There was 0.63 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 764 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.3 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 13 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 29 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and moderate surface humidity this morning.  The skies are cloudy (according to the sensors) and the winds are breezy and from the southeast.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows moderately high pressure over most of the state, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP expects the high to weaken with diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that another, weaker back door cold front will move into the eastern part of the state in the early morning hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the low 90s F today.

The HRRR shows that there has been some moisture return into the Albuquerque Metro area, and dewpoints are expected to reach into the upper 40s F by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will remain mostly clear most of the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warmer, sunnier and more humid than yesterday.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD