In Socorro yesterday, the weather was mostly sunny, calm and mild.
This morning has been cold, mostly sunny and still. There were high clouds over Albuquerque.
National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 22 F. Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming north by midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 18 F. Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F. Winds will be from the east at 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning an upper-level disturbance that could bring up to 2 inches of snow to the northern mountains by this evening.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows high, cool-topped clouds over the northern and northwestern parts of the state associated with the approaching upper-level disturbance.
The water vapor imagery shows deeper moisture bunched up ahead of the upper-level disturbance.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.1 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 7 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 39 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies were clear and sunny over the state. Winds were light and variable.
The surface pressure chart shows that there is still high pressure over most of the state today and that there is a moderate pressure gradient from the northeastern corner to the southwestern parts of the state. The RAP shows that both higher pressure and a moderate gradient are expected to linger for at least the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows that the trough extends directly through the state from northeast to southwest.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows Positive Vorticity Advection (PVA) moving through the state from west to east ahead of the upper-level disturbance.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is possible in the north central part of the state today by 00 Z. This will likely be snow, due to the elevation of this region.
Today will be cooler, windier and generally less pleasant than the last few days have been in the Rio Grande River Valley. I am looking forward to getting ahead of this system and hopefully avoiding winter weather on our Christmas vacation road trip to the east coast.
Thank you for reading my post.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD