New Mexico Weather: 10/19/17

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.  By the evening, the skies filled with high cirrus clouds.

This morning has been mostly cloudy, with a thin blanket of cirrus clouds covering most of the sky.  It was slightly warmer than yesterday, and also very still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly cloudy day, with a 40% chance of scattere showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be light and variable, becoming from the northwest at 5-10 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, patchy fog, and a low temperature of 49 F. Winds will be south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly cloudy day, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, patchy fog, and a low temperature of 46 F. Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a partly sunny day, with a 20%chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 71 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.   This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 48 F. Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for their entire warning area concerning the scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.  Storms will be capable of gusty winds, small hail, and heavy downpours, particularly south of I-40.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Marginal Risk for southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that some clouds have drifted into the state from the west.

The water vapor imagery shows that moisture has continued to advect into the state from the south and west.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows highly variable moisture, with several moisture peaks.   There was 0.50 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 16 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 22 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there were no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows little change over the next six hours, other than a slight pressure do to due to diurnal heating.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light northerly flow.  There is a split-flow pattern, where the weaker, southernmost branch of the jetstream curves north through west Texas by this evening.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows a few pockets of rapidly-rising air over the western half of the state today.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is expected over most of the state by 00 Z.

Today will be rainy and stormy for most of the state, especially south of I-40.  It will make things soggy today, but we will likely have a pleasant weekend.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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New Mexico Weather: 10/18/17

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.

This morning has been clear, cool and still.  There was a nice sunrise, with a few day moon and Venus all in a line.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 52 F. Winds will be south at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming north in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 49 F. Winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F.  The winds will be calm.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F. Winds will be calm, becoming north at 5 mph after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that some clouds have drifted into the state from the west.   They are not very thick, but after several days of no cloud coverage at all, they are worth mentioning.

The water vapor imagery shows that moisture has continued to advect into the state from the south and west.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows that the air is still dry over Albuquerque.  There was 0.26 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 7 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 15 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is high pressure over most of the state this morning, though there are no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop in the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows a few pockets of rapidly-rising air over the western half of the state today.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm, dry and still again.  However, the skies will begin to cloud up this evening, as moisture advects into the area from the west.  Clouds will begin to form over the west (as shown by the rising air on the 700 mb chart), and the rest of the state will follow suit this evening.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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New Mexico Weather: 10/17/17

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.

This morning has been sunny, cool and still.  There was a nice sunrise, with a few day moon and Venus all in a line.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast.  This evening will be  clear, with a low temperature of 49 F. Winds will be south at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. Winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming west at 5 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 47 F. Winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows some slight  moisture return from the west.  There is dry air overhead, though a little moisture is mixing into the western part of the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows dry air over the state this morning, but there is some moisture return as compared to yesterday.  There was 0.32 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.7 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 22 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is high pressure over most of the state this morning, though there are no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop in the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm, dry and still again.  It should be a pleasant day, though I’ll spend the entire day inside, unfortunately.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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New Mexico Weather: 10/16/17

Yesterday was sunny but chilly along our travels from Moab, UT, to Rio Rancho,  NM.  We had to run the heater in the van on the way back.

This morning has been sunny, cool and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be  clear, with a low temperature of 44 F. Winds will be south at 5-10 mph, becoming light and southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. Winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming calm in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. Winds will be calm, becoming north at 5 mph after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows dry air moving over the state from the west.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows dry air over the state this morning.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 7 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 22 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is high pressure over most of the state this morning, though there are no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop in the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light northwesterly flow over the state today, as the trough attenuates and moves east.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm, dry and still.  It should be an unusually warm, but pleasant day in New Mexico.  This week will follow suit.  It will be a good week to change my weather station location…

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Utah Weather:  10/15/17

Yesterday was sunny, cool, and breezy off and on.  Last night was frigid, and I ended up going to bed early, just to have an excuse to be in the sleeping bag.

This morning in Moab, it has been sunny, cold and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Grand Junction, CO,  forecasts (for Moab) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the north northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 35 F. Winds will be from the north northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming south southeast after midnight.

The NWS in Salt Lake City, UT, forecasts (for Salt Lake City) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 58 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 6 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. Winds will be from the north northwest at 5 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Salt Lake City, UT, forecasts (for St. George) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F.  The winds will be calm.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. Winds will be from the east northeast at 5-7 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows the trough moving east, with some moisture through the eastern part of the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Salt Lake City shows dry, cool air over the state this morning.  There was 0.18 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 5 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 51 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows a strong high pressure system over northwestern Colorado. This means that the pressure over Utah is high as well. The RAP shows that the pressure will remain high, though dropping some with diurnal heating.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows strong northwesterly to zonal flow as the trough moves east towards the Great Plains.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will remain a little chilly, though the cold front is beginning to mix out.  The story of the day will instead be high pressure, as this is the kind of high pressure that will produce headaches in some people.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week #42

This week’s image shows the interaction of a set of frontal boundaries.  You can see a frontal boundary marked by the thin band of clouds behind the thicker band of clouds.  Notice how, where these two merge, there is a strong thunderstorm with an overshooting top.  This storm formed in around 15 minutes, according to the satellite loop.

If one were to run this entire loop, they would see that an entire line of storms fired soon after this fast-moving cold front (with the thin line of clouds) passed into the other boundary (the thicker line of clouds).

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

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Utah Weather:  10/14/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, warm and pleasant.  I did some walking south of Moab, and did not need a jacket, though I was happy for it after sundown.

This morning in Moab, it has been sunny, cold and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Grand Junction, CO,  forecasts (for Moab) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 30 F. Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Salt Lake City, UT, forecasts (for Salt Lake City) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of snow in the morning, but then a high temperature of 50 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-7 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 35 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5-8 mph, becoming east southeast after midnight.

The NWS in Salt Lake City, UT, forecasts (for St. George) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F.  The winds will be from the north northeast at 5-7 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 39 F. Winds will be from the north northeast at 6-11 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Grand Junction has issued a Freeze Warning for a few areas in southeastern Utah, including Moab for this evening and into tomorrow morning, as shown on the Watches and Warnings graphic below:

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows dry air over most of the state today.

The 12Z sounding from Salt Lake City shows a nearly saturated atmosphere below 500 mb.  There was 0.35 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was 4 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -12 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was no thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 7.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 15 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 103 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows a strong high pressure system over the northwestern part of the state this morning.  Ahead of it is a sharp pressure gradient that will increase throughout the day, according to the RAP.  While the winds will not increase much, the pressure gradient is marking the edge of a strong c0ld front.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows strong northwesterly to zonal flow as the trough moves east towards the Great Plains.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows strong Positive Vorticity Advection (PVA) into the western part of the state by 00 Z.

The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving into the southern part of the state as this cold front pushes south.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is already much cooler than yesterday, and will remain so throughout the day.  This evening will be unpleasantly cold, and I am not looking forward to taking a shower tomorrow morning in the bathhouse.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment