Central New Mexico Weather: 9/25/18

Yesterday was warm, sunny and still.  By the evening a few clouds had rolled in from the west, but it was still a pleasant night.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.  There are a few clouds to my west.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature near 84 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming west at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 52 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 76 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming north in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The Albuquerque NWS office has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning an approaching from the northeast.  This will bring some gusty winds east of Albuquerque, lower temperatures, and a dusting to the Sangre de Cristo mountains (above 9500′).

The visible satellite imagery shows only a few clouds over the state, and most of them are to my west.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid layer from 600 mb to 500 mb.  There was 0.76 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1782 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 29 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 47 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.  A few stations in the western part of the state are reporting cloudy skies.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over Colorado, and a moderate pressure gradient into New Mexico.  The RAP shows that this pressure gradient will tighten over the next six hours, particularly in the northeastern corner of the state.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) in the form of a backdoor cold front moving into the area this afternoon and evening.  This will drop temperatures quite a bit, and produce some windy conditions in the eastern part of the state.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows storms will form by mid-afternoon hours.  Most of the central I-25 corridor will see showers and thunderstorms.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will become humid, as moisture aloft falls as rain later this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be possible today, particularly in the southeastern corner of the state.

The HRRR shows that skies will be cloudy over the Albuquerque Metro area by this evening.

Today will be a textbook example of a back door cold front.  It will approach from the Great Plains and impact the northeastern corner of the state first, with stronger winds, a sharper pressure gradient, and of course, lowering temperatures.  Ahead of the front, additional orthographic lift and ample moisture will lead to showers and thunderstorms.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 9/24/18

Yesterday was a bit warmer, but still a nice day.  I spent most of the day inside, unfortunately.

This morning has been sunny, cool and still.  There were some H1 cirrus hooks over Albuquerque this morning.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 85 F.  Winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly saturated layer at 300 mb, as well as another moisture peak around 600 mb.  There was 0.52 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1907 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 43 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderately low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.  A few stations in the western part of the state are reporting cloudy skies.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will remain dry today, with dewpoints in the 30’s F all day.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be unlikely today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that a few clouds will creep in from the west this evening.

Today is going to be a beautiful day!  I will try to get outside for a bit, perhaps and evening walk.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 9/23/18

Yesterday was an absolutely beautiful day!  There were no words to describe it.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 85 F.  Winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 54 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

 

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a much drier atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.42 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1528 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 11 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 26 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderately low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over northern New Mexico, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will remain dry today, with dewpoints dropping into the upper 20’s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be unlikely today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that clouds will be very limited today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

 

Today is going to be a beautiful day!  Too bad I will be stuck inside for the most part.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week #38

This week’s Satellite Image of the Week shows mostly clear skies behind a cold front in the midwest.  I do like the tiny cumulus field in southeastern Wisconsin.

Overall, I just liked this image.  There is not some great meteorological reason, I just liked the few tiny cumulus clouds in patches.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

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Central New Mexico Weather: 9/22/18

Yesterday was a bit breezy, but an otherwise beautiful day.  I don’t think we saw 20 mph winds in Socorro, even with the breeze.  We did have a nice sunset yesterday in Albuquerque.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 82 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming west at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a  high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning morning fog over the eastern part of the state.  It has likely already mixed out.  It does warn us of a Chamber of Commerce afternoon, whatever that means…

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid layer around 725 mb, with moderate humidity below this level.  There was 0.66 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 758 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.7 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 1 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 25 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over northeastern New Mexico, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will dry out by this afternoon, with dewpoints dropping into the 20’s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be unlikely today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that clouds will be very limited today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

 

Today is going to be a beautiful day!  I am going to ride up to Las Vegas, NM, in the pickup with the windows down.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 9/21/18

Yesterday cleared up in the early afternoon.  The rain had stopped by 10 am or so, and by the evening, the skies were clear.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.  It was almost chilly on my walk around Socorro.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 80 F.  Winds will be from the northeast at 10-20 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F.  Winds will be from the southeast at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a  high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning morning fog over the eastern part of the state.  It will mix out soon.

The visible satellite imagery shows some lingering fog.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a much drier atmosphere this morning. There was 0.44 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 643 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 10 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over eastern Colorado with a moderate pressure gradient in the northeastern corner of the state.  The RAP shows that this gradient is expected to sharpen, and that the winds will increase in speed over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate southwesterly flow as a weak jetstreak passes over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving in from the Great Plains.  This is set up as a precipitation-less backdoor cold front.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will be humid all day.  The dewpoints will be in the 50’s F all day.

The HRRR shows there will be strong winds as the pressure gradient develops and the back door cold front moves west.

The HRRR shows that there will be be mostly clear throughout the day, though a few clouds may linger in the southeastern corner of the state.

I am expecting today to be sunny, breezy and mild.  It should be nice, minus the wind.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 9/20/18

Around lunchtime yesterday, the rain started.  I returned home in the rain, and it rained all night.   Annoyingly, my relatively new roof (2 yr) in my house started leaking.

And it is still raining this morning.  Rainy, mild, still and overcast would be the best words to describe this morning.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, and a high temperature near 78 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 54 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, and a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the continued showers and thunderstorms this morning.

The visible satellite imagery shows heavy cloud cover over the entire state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a saturated atmosphere this morning. There was 1.20 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 457 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 4 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 44 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are cloudy and the Doppler RADAR is showing showers through the middle of the state.  Winds are light, statewide.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate southwesterly flow as our existing ridge exits to the east.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection for this forecast period.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is expected to exit the region by 23 Z.  There will be showers off and on before then.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 70’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will be humid all day.  The dewpoints will be in the 50’s F all day.

The HRRR shows no strong wind gusts today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that there will be cloudy skies through this afternoon.  The skies will start to clear in the late afternoon to partly cloudy skies this evening.

The rain will eventually stop later today.  When I checked yesterday evening, we had already received 0.38 inches, and I forgot to check it this morning.  Too bad my garden is dead…

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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