Yesterday, Socorro was beautiful- mild, sunny and only a slight breeze.
This morning, Socorro is cool, sunny and still.
From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM: Temperatures will warm a few degrees higher today for most areas, though they are a colder over the Eastern Plains, where there may be a hard freeze tonight. The warming trend will continue through the week.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 38 F. The winds will be from the west at 15 mph, becoming easterly after midnight. Rio Rancho is under a Wind Advisory from 9 PM until 6 AM until tomorrow morning.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 40 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15mph, becoming easterly after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 39 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, becoming southerly after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 10-15 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 31 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, becoming easterly after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Wind Advisory for the edge of the Rio Grande River Valley and a Hard Freeze Warning for the Eastern Plains. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery shows cloudy skies over the eastern half of the state this morning.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a moderately humid atmosphere, with drier air above 500mb. There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2256 m. There was a tiny thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 34 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 61 kts (due mostly to directional changes).
The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and moderate humidity. Stations are reporting sunny skies, with a few stations reporting cloudy skies over the northeast (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.
The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows we are under no strong pressure system, but we are under a slight pressure gradient from the northeast to the southwest. The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow this afternoon.
The NAM 700 mb chart and 850 mb charts continued Cold Air Advection (CAA), though it will weaken by this afternoon. This back door cold front is more visible on the 850 mb chart.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few light echoes in the northern half of the state this evening. They won’t bring much precipitation, if any at all.
The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 60s F.
The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 30s F by tomorrow morning.
The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain around 20 F today.
The Nested NAM shows winds may be breezy, but not damaging. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart some clouds drifting into the northern half of the state this evening.
It’s going to be mild and sunny, though the winds will increase later tonight. Even so, it’s nice having above freezing temperatures at night!
I’ll spend most of my day inside, but I will make a lap or two around campus. It is “forget my coat in my office” weather, where you need a coat in the morning, but not in the afternoon.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD