Yesterday was sunny, warm and still in Socorro. It was a beautiful day, and I didn’t spend nearly enough of it outside. I am still recovering from a cold, but I am getting better.
This morning has been sunny, cool and clear.
National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph by this afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 38 F. Winds will be from the west at 15 mph, becoming north after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph, gusting as high as 35 mph, in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 33 F. Winds will be from the west at 15-25 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph, and gusting as high as 35 mph, in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F. Winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph, gusting as high as 30 mph, and becoming northwest after midnight.
The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook and several High Winds Watches, Red Flag Warnings and so on concerning the strong winds that will accompany a Pacific cold front that will pass through the state later today. The NWS Watches and Warnings Graphic is shown below:
Due to the high winds and dry conditions, a Critical Fire Weather Risk has been issued for a ring that includes the eastern part of NM, as well as the west-central part of the Texas Handle.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows a few bands of thicker clouds moving across the state from west to east.
The water vapor imagery shows moisture streaming in from the Pacific and moving across the state from west to east.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a well-mixed atmosphere. There was 0.31 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.7 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 34 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 84 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The winds are light, and the skies are clear, except for a few stations in the east.
The surface pressure chart shows a moderate pressure gradient across the northern and northeastern counties this morning. The RAP shows that this gradient will spread and strengthen over the next six hours, which is why our winds will be stronger by the afternoon.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows strong zonal flow over the state today.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows a typical windy day pattern, with rising air on the windward size of mountains, and sinking air on the lee sides of the mountains.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows some weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving into the state from the west. The winds blow weakly across the light thermal gradient from cool to warm.
The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
I am not looking forward to the windy conditions this afternoon. I was debating going for a run, and perhaps sitting outside and working on my laptop. I certainly will not be sitting outside, waiting to blow away, and I am still undecided on the running.
Thank you for reading my post.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD