Central New Mexico Weather: 10/24/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and breezy in Rio Rancho. It clouded up in the evening and was nearly overcast.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming light and variable by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the west at 10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, high, light clouds, particularly over the northwestern and northeastern corners of the state.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows moisture streaming into the state from the southwest ahead of the next Pacific storm.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a moderately humid atmosphere. There was 0.43 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1755 m. There was a small thermal inversion at 600 mb and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.0 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 27 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 57 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and from the west.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems, though there is a strong pressure gradient over the northern mountains from west to east. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients will decrease.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal-to-northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F and 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds drifting into the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, mild and still. It should be quite pleasant again today.

I will probably go for a run in a few minutes and will also walk to the gym. I might do a little work to a car or two today as well. Unfortunately, I have to spend the evening inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Satellite Image of the Week 2021 #42

This week’s image was taken over the Pacific this morning.

I just enjoyed watching this radar loop. There are so many waves bouncing through this region, each one changing the character of the clouds. Some of them cause additional shear, leading to areas of rising air or falling air, raising or mixing out the clouds, respectively.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:

College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/23/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and still in Socorro and Magdalena.

This morning, Socorro and Magdalena has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the west at 15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds, particularly over the northwestern corner of the state.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows moisture streaming into the state from the southwest ahead of the next Pacific storm.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere aloft, but a relatively damp boundary layer. There was 0.37 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1409 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.2 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 32 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are still.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal-to-northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are possible, particularly at high elevations overnight.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds drifting in from the west and northwest this afternoon.

Today will be sunny, mild and still. It should be quite pleasant again today. It will be a bit breezier today as compared to the last few days.

I will probably do a little work in my shed and maybe on a car this afternoon.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/22/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and still in Socorro and Magdalena.

This morning, Socorro and Magdalena has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming calm in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming calm in the midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the southeastern corner of the state.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows light, uniform moisture aloft.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.27 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2293 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.7 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 10 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 27 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure and no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop. The low will move out of the region.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, varied flow, as a low amplitude ridge passes through the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the upper 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are unlikely today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, mild and still. It should be quite pleasant again today. I’m enjoying this weather!

I will be inside for most of the day, but will commute back to Rio Rancho this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/21/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and still in Socorro and Magdalena.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph becoming northerly after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery is unavailable at this time.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.23 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2155 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 4.1 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 11 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 21 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure and no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop. The low will move out of the region.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are unlikely today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds drifting into the northern part of the state this evening.

Today will be sunny, mild and still. It should be quite pleasant again today.

I will be inside for most of the day, but will try to go for a walk tonight.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/20/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and breezy in Socorro and Magdalena.

This morning, Socorro has been sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming easterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 37 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows drier air aloft, as compared to the last few days. The upper-level low has moved northeast far out of our region.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.18 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1517 m. There was a small thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.8 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 9 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 31 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure and no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop. The low will move out of the region.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are unlikely today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, mild and still. It should be quite pleasant today.

I will be inside for most of the day, but will commute back to Rio Rancho with the buses and trains this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Weather Data: 10/11/21 – 10/17/21

Time for my 78th week of weather station data.

The high temperature of 73.0 F occurred on Sunday afternoon. We had a low temperature of 29.7 F on Wednesday night. The dewpoints ranged from 35.6 F to 11.1 F. Our first freeze was this week (10/13).

There was no precipitation this week. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The strongest winds and the strongest gust (46.8 mph) occurred on Tuesday afternoon.

The high pressure was 30.24 in Hg (~1024 mb) on Saturdayday afternoon, and the lowest pressure was on Tuesday morning, dropping down to 29.57 in Hg (~1001 mb). The pressure has been trending up through the week.

There was sunshine every day this week. You can see it is autumn, as the peaks are lower now than they were a few weeks ago. There were no false peaks this week.

Thank you for reading my post.

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/19/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and breezy in Socorro and Magdalena. In the evening, a few light clouds drifted in and the winds decreased.

This morning, Socorro has been sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F. The winds will be from the west at 15 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 39 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the west at 15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 36 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F. The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light cumulus clouds in a mountain wave pattern. The loop shows these clouds are mixing out.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows that there is moisture being ingested by the upper-level low to our northwest, passing through the state from the southwest. The low has moved to the east as compared to yesterday, and more dry air is being ingested into it.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a humid layer at 650 mb. There was 0.45 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1642 m. There was a small thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 27 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 60 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and from the southwest.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems and a slight pressure gradient from southwest to northeast due to a lee-side low in eastern Colorado. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop. The low will move out of the region.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light to moderate, zonal to southwesterly flow over the state today, as the upper-level disturbance continues east.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions are possible today, statewide.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, mild and breezy. As the upper-level system continues east, conditions will warm to above normal temperatures, but remain dry. The morning clouds will continue to mix out until we have clear skies.

I will be inside for most of the day, but will go for a walk later this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/18/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, with only a light breeze here in Rio Rancho. A few clouds drifted in during the late afternoon and evening.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the southeastern corner of the state.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows that there is moisture being ingested by the upper-level low to our northwest, passing through the state from the southwest.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an increase in moisture compared to yesterday. There was 0.52 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1147 m. There was a small thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.0 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 19 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 46 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and from the southwest.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients so far today. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show some Cold Air Advection (CAA) in the northwestern corner of the state as an upper-level disturbance passes to our north. It is more visible on the 700 mb chart.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows high winds are possible today, statewide.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few, light clouds drifting into the state from the northwest this afternoon and evening.

Today will be sunny, mild and breezy. The breeze is due to the approaching upper-level disturbance, which will pass just north of the state tomorrow. The atmosphere is dry, so no precipitation is expected. The CAA is weak because the wind direction is mostly parallel to the temperature gradient, but temperatures will drop a few degrees for tomorrow.

I will be inside for most of the day, but will go for a walk later this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Central New Mexico Weather: 10/17/21

Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, with only a light breeze here in Socorro.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a few isolated sprinkles and a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the southeastern corner of the state.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows that there is a bulge of moisture aloft that covers the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere, but a humid layer at 300 mb. There was 0.29 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1664 m. There was a large thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.8 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 17 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 21 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure with a weak pressure gradient from northeast to southwest. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but strong pressure gradients are not expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows high winds are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few, light clouds drifting into the state from the west this evening and overnight.

Today will be sunny, clear, and mild. It will trend a few degrees warmer than yesterday. We will have stable weather for the next few days, minus a dry cold front on Tuesday.

I will spend a bunch of time outside, as I am about to go for a run. When I return, I’ll probably change the oil in my truck.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD