Central New Mexico Weather: 4/7/20

Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny, and slightly breezy.  I went for a run and did some work in my garden.  I also installed my weather station.

This morning, the weather has been cool, sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A dry air mass will remain in place over New Mexico today, leading to above average temperatures, low humidity, and only light winds.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly by midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows a few clouds over the eastern border of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients so far this morning. The RAP shows pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong, southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation today.  The simulated reflectivity chart and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will rise into the lower 20s F by afternoon.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows very few clouds are possible over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be another beautiful day here in Rio Rancho.  I will be working on my garden and on my shed and spending as much time outdoors as I can.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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New Weather Station

My new weather station is up and running! I installed the Ambient Weather WS-1550 IP on my roof, and it seems to be working well.

I am still learning my way around it, but it is working so far. It does not measure pressure (I was surprised), but it does measure temperature, dewpoint, wind speed, wind direction, rainfall, and solar radiation.

Here is the first round of data.  You can see the temperature drop as the sun set, as well as the wind speed drop.  Also, notice the shift in wind direction after sunset as well.

Thank you for reading my post.

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Central New Mexico Weather: 4/6/20

Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny, and slightly breezy.  I worked on an outdoor project, but ended up spending several hours inside, scrubbing spray foam off my hands.

This morning, the weather has been cool, sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Temperatures today will be warm, with breezy conditions possible.  The warm and dry boundary layer will increase the fire risk, particularly in the northeastern part of the state today.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be light and variable, becoming southwesterly at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, becoming westerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening be clear, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a  mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for the northeastern corner of the state.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for a small part of northeastern New Mexico later today.   They mention downslope flow and boundary-layer mixing will keep conditions dry and breezy in the threat area.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds over the central part of the state, and low cirrus clouds over the southeastern corner.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a nearly-saturated layer at 500 mb, with an inverted v shape in the boundary layer.  There was 0.27 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2370 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.7 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 19 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 56 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny, with a few cloudy locations (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients so far this morning. The RAP shows pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very strong, zonal to southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation today.  The simulated reflectivity chart and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits F by this afternoon.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows very few clouds are possible over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be another beautiful day here in Rio Rancho.  I will be working on my garden and on my shed and spending as much time outdoors as I can, though I will be inside a bunch for work, unfortunately.

The northeastern corner of the state will be under a fire risk.  While the winds will not be as strong as a few days ago, 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph with low relative humidity presents a threat for fire.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Fire Weather, Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Central New Mexico Weather: 4/5/20

Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny, and slightly breezy.  We worked on an outdoor construction project in the evening and it was quite pleasant.

This morning, the weather has been cool, sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Temperatures today will be warm, with breezy conditions possible.  Some moisture has advected into the state, particularly in the southeast, which has created some low cirrus clouds and dense fog.  These are expected to mix out by the late morning hours.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph, and gusting to 30 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, but then decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for the northeastern corner of the state.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for a small part of northeastern New Mexico later today.   They mention a deepening lee trough as the source for increased wind speeds.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.19 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2012 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 38 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny, with a few cloudy locations (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients so far this morning. The RAP shows pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate to strong, zonal to southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation today.  The simulated reflectivity chart and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop into the upper 10s F by this afternoon.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows very few clouds are possible over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a beautiful day here in Rio Rancho.  I will be working on my garden and on my shed and spending as much time outdoors as I can.

The northeastern corner of the state will be under a fire risk.  While the winds will not be as strong as a few days ago, 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph with low relative humidity presents a threat for fire.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week 2020 #14

This week’s image was taken earlier today over Colorado.

Today, the skies are clear over the Great Plains, though there is evidence of upslope flow along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. Notice the light cumulus clouds that have formed along the mountain range. Humid air on southeasterly breezes has climbed the mountains and condensed.

Upslope convection is a big player in New Mexico, Colorado and Wyoming during the severe weather season.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  NASA MSFC

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Central New Mexico Weather: 4/4/20

Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny, and breezy.  I didn’t spend nearly enough time outside, as it was a nice day.

This morning, the weather has been cool, sunny and a little breezy.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Southeasterly surface winds have advected moisture into the eastern NM plains.  Humid air is being lifted orthographically, leading to the formation of low stratus  clouds.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a chance of afternoon sprinkles and a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, gradually becoming clear, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, but then becoming southwesterly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening be clear, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a  sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows the low cirrus clouds over the eastern part of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and moderate surface humidity.  The skies are sunny, with a few cloudy locations (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients so far this morning. The RAP shows pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few showers are possible by this evening.  However, very little precipitation is expected to reach the ground, based on the Nested NAM precipitation chart.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 60s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows a few clouds are possible over the state today.

Today will be a little breezy, but otherwise a pleasant day.  We bought some lawn furniture yesterday, and will probably assemble it today, and then sit outside to enjoy the weather.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Central New Mexico Weather: 4/3/20

Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny, and windy.  I went for a run, but it was a struggle to run against the wind.

This morning, the weather has been cool, sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A cold front has pushed into the eastern part of the state today, bringing with it some low clouds that are expected to mix out in the next few hours.  Some virga and a few cumulus clouds are possible by this afternoon.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a chance of afternoon sprinkles and a high temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be light and variable, becoming southwesterly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a slight chance of sprinkles, and a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming northeasterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a slight chance of sprinkles, and a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 37 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a slight chance of sprinkles and a high temperature of 64 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a slight chance of sprinkles and a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, becoming easterly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows the low cirrus clouds over the northeastern and southeastern corners of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny, with a few cloudy locations (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are slightly lower pressure, and there is strong high pressure over the panhandle of Nebraska.  This has created a strong pressure gradient from northeast to southwest.  The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) over the eastern part of the state.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few showers are possible by this evening.  However, very little precipitation is expected to reach the ground, based on the Nested NAM precipitation chart.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the lower to mid 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows a few clouds are possible over the state today.

Today will be windy, though not as windy as yesterday.  Otherwise, it should be a pleasant day!

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment