5/15/19 High Plains Tours: Day #4 Predictions

Today is no good for chasing.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight Risk for parts of North Dakota.  It is not chaseable for us, and wouldn’t have been, even if we had ended yesterday in Missouri.

Currently, there is a 2% Tornado Threat ring associated with the Slight Risk.

However, this is all out of play for us.  Today we will reposition for this weekend’s threat.

A quick glance at the surface observations shows mild, humid air, with clear skies and southwesterly surface winds.

The 250 mb NAM chart shows our major problem – northwest flow!  Until that goes away (Friday), we are stuck with very little chance of severe weather.  There is a trough approaching, and that will bring some severe weather later this week and into the weekend.

I’m not sure what we are doing for our next move.  We may need to run to Albuquerque, or we may start drifting to Denver.  I’m not sure yet.  Either way, we need to be getting on the road soon…

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
Storm Prediction Center
College of DuPage

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Possible Chase Opportunity, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Severe Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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