Central New Mexico Weather: 2/12/19

Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and windy.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F.   The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming south this afternoon.  This evening will have increasing clouds, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will have increasing clouds, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.08 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1375 m.  There was no inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 17 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 38 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure with a slight pressure gradient this morning.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little precipitation.  This char has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in low 50s today.

The HRRR shows that there will be very little moisture in New Mexico today.  Dewpoints will drop to -5 F in some areas.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to cloud by this afternoon.

Today will be a little warmer and a lot less breezy as compared to yesterday.  Thankfully.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Central New Mexico Weather: 2/11/19

Yesterday was mostly cloudy, mild and breezy.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow showers before noon and a high temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-20 mph, becoming northwest at 20-30 mph and gusting to 45 mph by the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 15-25 mph, decreasing to 5-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 49 F.   The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph, becoming west at 20-30 mph, gusting to 45 mph by this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow before noon and a high temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 20-25 mph, increasing to 25-30 mph and gusting to 45 mph by the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a variety of wind-related watches and warnings.  The NWS Watches and Warnings chart is shown below:

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows a few clouds in the Albuquerque Metro area, but thicker clouds in the northwestern and southeastern corners of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.19 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 564 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 23 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 97 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.  The Doppler RADAR overlay shows some rain falling in the southern third of the state.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows low pressure over the north-central part of the state, with a slight pressure gradient radiating in all directions.  The RAP shows that low pressure will develop in the Texas Panhandle and that a strong pressure gradient will develop in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong westerly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts some scattered precipitation in the morning.  This will clear up by noon.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in mid 40s today.

The HRRR shows that there will be very little moisture in New Mexico today.  Dewpoints will drop to -5 F in some areas.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are likely today.  The high winds nearly follow the state lines for New Mexico.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to clear by this afternoon.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be colder and much windier than yesterday.  Blowing dust will be a concern today.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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Satellite Image of the Week 2019 #6

This week’s Satellite Image of the Week shows snow all over the Dakotas.

I like this picture for two reasons.  The first is that you can see some light clouds that come from the sublimation of the snow, particularly in the southwestern corner of both states.  The second reason is that all of the snow is up there where it belongs and not down by me.

Thank you for reading this post!

Source:  College of DuPage – Meteorology

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Central New Mexico Weather: 2/10/19

Yesterday was mostly cloudy, cool and breezy.  The sunset in Rio Rancho was pretty:

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day, with a chance of sprinkles, and a high temperature of 58 F.   The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 31 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a chance of sprinkles and a high temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15 mph.

The visible satellite image shows a thick blanket of clouds over most of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.17 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1620 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 21 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 110 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.  The Doppler RADAR overlay shows some rain falling in the southern third of the state.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that there are no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows none are expected for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts some scattered precipitation.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in upper 50s today.

The HRRR shows that moisture will surge from the south this evening.  However, dewpoints will remain low in the Albuquerque Metro area all day.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are possible this afternoon, particularly in the southern part of the state.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to become overcast by mid-afternoon.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, but will remain cloudy.  I will do some garden and yard work for sure.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Central New Mexico Weather: 2/9/19

Yesterday was sunny, cool and a little breezy.

This morning has been partly sunny, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 51 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 52 F.   The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The visible satellite image shows light, high clouds over most of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 758 m.  There was a moderate, thick thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.0 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 66 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

 

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with a moderate pressure gradient in the southern half of the state.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little precipitation.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in mid 50s today.

The HRRR shows that a weak dryline will form and trace I-25 through central New Mexico.  It’s dry on both sides, but goes from a dewpoint of 10 F in Gallup to a dewpoint of 20 F in Albuquerque.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are possible this afternoon, particularly in the western third of the state.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to become overcast by mid-afternoon.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, and maybe even warmer still tomorrow.  With the winds, dry temperatures and warmer day, I’m surprised the fire risk isn’t a little higher in western New Mexico.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Central New Mexico Weather: 2/8/19

Yesterday was sunny, cold and still.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.  The temperature was 15 F when I left the house in Rio Rancho this morning.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.   The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 10-15 mph this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15 mph.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning below-zero wind chills in the northwestern corner of the state.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the Rio Grande River Valley.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.05 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1253 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 9 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 54 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with a slight pressure gradient in the southern half of the state.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little precipitation.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will only peak in low 50s today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints are expected to rise from the single digits into the teens this evening.  This chart shows moisture advection up the Rio Grande River Valley by late this afternoon.

The HRRR shows gusty winds will be less likely throughout the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skied are expected to remain mostly sunny and clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, and maybe even warmer still tomorrow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Central New Mexico Weather: 2/7/19

Yesterday was partly sunny, windy and cold.  We had some snow flurries in Magdalena, and some sleet in Rio Rancho.

This morning has been mostly sunny, with a few scattered, high clouds, cold and still.  The thermometer said 13 F when I left the house.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 15 mph.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 18 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 46 F.   The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 19 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-20 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 16 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning below-zero wind chills in the northwestern corner of the state.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the Rio Grande River Valley.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.10 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 874 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 7.7 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 19 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 102 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems and only a light pressure gradient over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  The cold front has passed.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little precipitation.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will only reach into the low 40s today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints are expected to go from the single digits above zero to the single digits below zero.  It will be quite dry.

The HRRR shows gusty winds will be less likely throughout the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the clouds will mix out and clear, sunny skies are expected.

Today will be less windy, but colder than yesterday. Yes, it’s still winter.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment