Yesterday, the weather was warm, humid, and mostly cloudy. We had a shower in Magdalena in the afternoon.
Then, when I arrived in Rio Rancho, we had a small thunderstorm go through the area at sunset, and I nearly filled up the memory in my camera taking pictures of it. Here are a few of those photos:
On Doppler RADAR, the cell looked like this:
There were a few reports of large hail and high winds in the northeastern corner of the state yesterday as well.
This morning has been mild, still, and partly cloudy. Everything is damp from yesterday’s rain, but the skies are clearing up.
National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 64 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 85 F. The winds will be from the west at 10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F. Winds will be from the west at 10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be northwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 61 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.
The NWS has also issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning storms, particularly in the northeastern corner of the state. Large hail, heavy downpours and damaging winds will be the primary threat. There is also a Flash Flood Warning in place, as shown on the NWS Watches and Warnings graphic shown below:
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Marginal Risk for the very northeastern corner of the state again today. The risk for tornadoes is low.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds, as existing clouds mix out and move east through the state. There is a boundary in the southwestern quadrant that is moving west, and you can see if if you loop the infrared imagery.
The water vapor imagery shows that drier air has infiltrated the western half of the state, and continues to move east.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly-saturated boundary layer, but dry air above 500 mb. There was 0.84 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was 388 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -239 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.8 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 18 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear, and the winds are light at this time. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows that the entire state is under lower pressure (1006 mb to 1010 mb), with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop over the next six hours, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows southwesterly flow over the state today, as a small shortwave trough digs south through the state by 00Z.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that rain is likely over a few large patches in the state today. Overall, coverage is less today, as compared to yesterday.
I am expecting a pleasant day today, as we enter a slight drying trend. Today will be warm and sunny in most areas along the Rio Grande River Valley. A few isolated storms are possible farther west, where there is still some deep moisture.
Thank you for reading my post.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD