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Category Archives: NowCasting
Moderate Risk: 6/30/14
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Moderate Risk for parts of the Eastern Great Plains. Associated with the Moderate Risk is a 15% Hatched Tornado Ring. The SPC issued the Moderate Risk due to an area of high … Continue reading
Posted in NowCasting, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Radar Imagery
Tagged 15% hatched tornado ring, Iowa, meteorology, moderate risk, outflow boundary, radar, storm, tornado, weather
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Slight Risk: 4/20/14
Storms are beginning to fire today across Texas. There is a cell near Memphis, TX that was recently warned. You can see the beginning of a Weak Echo Region (WER) developing. A few cells have begun to collect into clusters … Continue reading
Rio Rancho Radar
I was on the road most of yesterday, and so I slept in this morning. It looks like the Moderate Risk that was issued for parts of the eastern Great Plains fizzled, as this system went linear quickly. There is … Continue reading
Posted in Local WX, NowCasting, Practicing Concepts, Radar Imagery
Tagged GR2Analyst, GRLevel3, meteorology, New Mexico, radar, rio rancho, storms, supercell, Texas, thunderstorms, Waco, weather
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…and then, there was a boundary…
Notice the cumulus clouds forming in a line? You’ve found a boundary! It’s likely near the edge of the cold front passing through the area, and where this intersects the dryline might be a place for storm development. I’ll watch … Continue reading
Posted in NowCasting, Satellite Imagery
Tagged cloud images, clouds, satellite, satellite imagery, thunderstorms
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Florida’s Risk Today
While the south and the east coast brace for a winter storm, complete with heavy snow and ice threats, Florida prepares for severe thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight Risk and 5% Tornado Risk for central … Continue reading
Posted in NowCasting
Tagged severe thunderstorm, severe thunderstorm watch, squall line, tornado
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #533
from the Storm Prediction Center in Rio Rancho, the skies are dark to the north and cumulonimbus building to the west. Wind and hail events are a moderate risk, including severe wind events (80mph gusts), and severe hail events (2″ … Continue reading
Leaving Erick, OK
We are leaving Erick, OK eastbound on I-40. The dryline is still to our east as is 5,000 J/kg CAPE. Cumulus developing to our east and tornado watch in place. – Joey
Posted in Chase Account, Chase Crew, NowCasting
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Rough Day in the South
A typical mid-February setup for the south- large potential for tornadoes in the warm sector of a midlatitude cyclone. I expect these will be fast moving storms as well. From the satellite/IR image, you can clearly see the midlatitude cyclone … Continue reading
Posted in Musings, NowCasting, Weather Station
Tagged Ambient Weather, EasyWeather, mid-latitude cyclone, storm, storms, thunderstorm, tornado, tornadoes, warm sector
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5-13-12 Predictions/Nowcasting
There is a slight risk for NM today. I will not be chasing it, though it looks like mostly hailers and high based storms: Originally, the SPC had a good part of NM in the 2% tornado threat ring, but … Continue reading
Posted in Local WX, NowCasting, Predictions
Tagged hail, less than 2% all areas, NM, slight risk
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MCS in target area
Well, it looks like there is an MCS raging in the target area. The tornado threat looks to have shifted a bit north. The cells are more discrete to the northeast as well- Woodward, OK area, which I thought was … Continue reading
High Plains Chasing 