Yesterday was cool and sunny in Magdalena.
This morning in Magdalena, the weather is mostly cloudy and cool. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecaster’s discussion says that today will be cooler and drier, as compared to the last few days. However, the next storm system is incoming.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear with a low temperature of 31 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a cloudy morning, becoming a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 34 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and a high temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph, gusting to 50 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque has issued wind products in the southern part of the state. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery shows a scattered clouds over of the state.
The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a continuous plume of moisture approaching the state from the southwest.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a cold, humid atmosphere. There was 0.42 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1119 m. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.8 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 14 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 113 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold, humid weather. The skies are sunny, with a few cloudy stations in the Rio Grande River Valley (according to the sensors). The winds are moderate and southerly.
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today. The RAP shows this trend is expected to continue for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows very strong, southwesterly flow over the state today.
The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few isolated showers as the cold front passes through.
The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows streaks of precipitation moving from southwest to northeast, all day.
The Nested NAM temperature chart shows the high temperatures are expected to reach into the lower 50s F.
The Nested NAM temperature chart also shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 40s F.
The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 30s F.
The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible today, but their coverage will diminish throughout the day.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.
Today will be cool with some isolated showers. Looking outside here at Magdalena, it has become very gray, with low clouds.
I will commute to Socorro and Magdalena, but will largely remain indoors today.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD.
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