Yesterday was cool, mostly sunny and a little breezy in Socorro and Magdalena.
It is mostly sunny and cool in Socorro. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 36 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 52 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.
The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the west, arranged in mountain-wave patterns.
The upper-level water vapor imagery shows southwesterly flow across the state in a nearly-stationary pattern.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry layer of air centered around 600 mb. There was 0.32 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 751 m. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.8 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 18 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 77 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold, humid weather, clear skies in the east, with a few stations reporting cloudy skies in the west (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning. The RAP shows this trend is expected to continue for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows very strong southwesterly flow.
The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation is unlikely today, with the exception of a few spots overnight at high elevations. This chart, the snow charts and precipitation chart have been excluded form today’s post.
The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 50s F.
The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 40s F.
The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will remain in the upper 30s F and lower 40s F.
The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible just east of the central mountain chain.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows light clouds favoring the northwestern quadrant of the state.
Today will be mostly sunny and cool. There is a chance for some high elevation snow, particularly in the northwestern corner of the state, but it barely shows up on the NAM. A new storm system is moving into the region starting tonight, and we will see some Cold Air Advection (CAA) tomorrow, mountain snow and other fun things.
I will commute between Magdalena and Socorro today, but will largely remain inside.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD.