Central New Mexico Weather: 12/5/22

Yesterday was cold, cloudy and rainy when we arrived back in Albuquerque from the Pacific Northwest.

It is mostly cloudy and cold here in Mountainair. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 34 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 36 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph. Socorro is under a dense fog advisory until 11 AM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 33 F. The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Dense Fog Advisories. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the west, arranged in mountain-wave patterns.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows the low-amplitude ridge moving out of the region, with more humid, upper-level air moving into the state from the west.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a cool, humid atmosphere. There was 0.47 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was 11 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and -29 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 13 m. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 4.3 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 23 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 60 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold, humid weather, with clear skies in the east, and cloudy skies in the west (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure system, though there is low pressure over the southern Great Plains, leading to a moderate pressure gradient across the northern part of the state. The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong zonal to southwesterly flow.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation is unlikely today, with the exception of a few spots overnight at high elevations. This chart, the snow charts and precipitation chart have been excluded form today’s post.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 50s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 40s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will remain in the upper 30s F and lower 40s F.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible just east of the central mountain chain.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows light clouds favoring the northwestern quadrant of the state.

Today will be mostly sunny and cool, with a few strong winds just east of the central mountain chain. The winds will be strong and potentially damaging east of the central mountain range. The fog that is present this morning will mix out by 11 or so. In terms of cloud cover, the NAM might be underpredicting, based on the high dewpoints.

I will commute back to Magdalena from Mountainair and will spend the whole day inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD.

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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