Yesterday was cool and sunny. I worked in my shed for a bit, too.
It is sunny and cold here in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 25 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the west at 15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph.
The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the southeastern corner of the state.
The upper-level water vapor imagery shows the next trough moving into the state from the west. Southwesterly flow and some moisture return is present.
he 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a cold, dry atmosphere. There was 0.13 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1149 m. There was a large thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.1 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 8 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 26 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure, but low pressure is developing over the northeastern corner of the state, leading to a sharp pressure gradient across the northern half of the state. The RAP shows the low will intensify and the pressure gradient will remain.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal to southwesterly flow today.
The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show Cold Air Advection (CAA) from the north and northwest.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers are unlikely today. This, the precipitation chart and the snow charts have been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 40s F.
The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 30s F.
The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will rise from the single digits to the upper 10s F.
The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible, particularly east of the central mountain chain this evening.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds drifting in from the northwest ahead of the trough.
Today will be cool and sunny. It will warm up a bit in the middle of the day, but only to 55 F or so. In the eastern plains, the temperatures will drop rapidly overnight, and some snow may begin to fall. Gusty winds and snow may be a threat tomorrow for this area. For the Albuquerque Metro area, we will largely dodge this winter storm.
I may try to work in the shed for a bit, but I do have some things I need to do inside. I may go outside and mess around with the cars a bit, too.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD