Central New Mexico Weather: 11/22/22

Yesterday was cool and sunny. It was pleasant in the afternoon and we ran a few errands. I worked in my shed for a bit, too.

It is sunny and cold here in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 52 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 26 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 26 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F. The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming easterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 25 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 22 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows some moisture return ahead of the next trough.

he 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a cold, dry atmosphere. There was 0.09 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1534 m. There was a large thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 11 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 28 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers are unlikely today. This, the precipitation chart and the snow charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 40s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 20s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will rise from the single digits to the upper 10s F.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds drifting in from the southwest and forming this afternoon, leading to partly cloudy skies this evening.

Today will be cold, sunny and still. It will warm up a bit in the middle of the day, but only to 50 F or so. The next trough may bring a winter storm later this week- I’ll be watching it closely.

I may try to work in the shed for a bit, but I do have some things I need to do inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Advertisement

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.