Central New Mexico Weather: 9/24/22

Yesterday was warm and partly sunny in Socorro. In the afternoon, a few thunderstorms rolled through town, and it rained hard. Along my commute back to Rio Rancho, I went through a few pockets of light rain.

Today, the weather is sunny and mild here in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F. The winds will be from the north at 10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows the plume of monsoonal moisture has elongated, stretching from west to east, and also mixed out a bit.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a warm, humid atmosphere. There was 0.76 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was 62 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), and -111 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 348 m. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.3 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 91 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool, moderately dry weather, with sunny skies over the northern tier of counties (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows slightly higher pressure over most of the state so far this morning, with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows pressure is expected to drop everywhere due to diurnal heating, and no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 80s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 60s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will drop into the 30s F by this afternoon.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows gusty winds are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

With temperatures holding in the 80s F today, it’s not quite fall yet, but it is drier than it has been for the last few days, with dewpoints dropping into the 30s F. Showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.

I might go for a run. Whether I run or not, I will spend some time outside today, perhaps working in my shed for a bit.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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