Central New Mexico Weather: 7/20/22

Yesterday was mostly sunny, hot and still. I spent as little time outside as possible.

This morning, the weather is partly cloudy, warm and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 101 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 102 F. The winds will be from the north at 10 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming southwesterly by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 94 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming northeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Heat Advisories, including one that covers the Albuquerque Metro area. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Marginal Risk for severe weather over the northeastern part of the state. The primary severe weather threat is damaging winds near the strongest thunderstorms.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows partly to mostly cloudy skies over the state this morning.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows the moisture plume has returned to the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, moderately humid weather, with most stations reporting sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northerly flow, due to the upper-level high pressure system that is lingering over the state.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows scattered showers and thunderstorms over the state. The strongest storms will be in the northeastern part of the state.

The heaviest rainfall will be in a stripe from the northeast to the southwest.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 100s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 70s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will start out in the 40s F, but then climb into the 50s F and lower 60s F near the afternoon and evening showers.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible near the strongest afternoon thunderstorms.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows skies will cloud up due to the afternoon precipitation. Mostly cloudy skies are expected over most of the state by tomorrow evening.

Today will be hot, record-breaking in the Eastern Plains of New Mexico. There will be a few more showers and thunderstorms today, as compared to yesterday, some of which will carry winds that will approach or exceed severe limits,particularly in the northeastern corner of the state.

I will commute to and from Socorro today. I’m not looking forward to the hot bus rides, but I have work to do.

Tomorrow, I will leave for a cross-country trip to the Detroit, MI, area, so I will do travel weather posts for the next few days.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery, Severe Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.