Central New Mexico Weather: 7/18/22

Yesterday was mostly sunny, hot and still. I worked in my garden and also went for an afternoon swim.

This morning, the weather is sunny, warm and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 99 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 101 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 65 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Heat Advisories, including one that covers the Albuquerque Metro area. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows partly cloudy skies over most of the state this morning.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows moisture has returned to the region overnight. It is drawn in from the southwest due to the spiraling high pressure over the Four Corners region.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an inverted v shape. There was 0.82 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. The thermodynamic data is missing from this sounding. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 7.1 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 0 kts (due mostly to directional changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, moderately humid weather, with most stations reporting sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light and variable flow as an upper-level high pressure system develops over most of the state this afternoon.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely. This chart, and the simulated precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 90s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 70s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will drop into the upper 30s F.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are not expected today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows mostly sunny and clear skies, with very few clouds. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today’s sounding shows the reduced surface moisture, though more moisture is moving into the state aloft. The chances of showers and thunderstorms are still very small. The key story today will be the heat.

I may go for a run here in a few minutes before it gets hot.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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