Central New Mexico Weather: 7/3/22

Yesterday was partly sunny, warm and still. I went to church and then worked on an antenna until it looked like it would storm. There was some lightning near by, and we had a few drops of rain, but nothing substantial. One of the storms hid in the cone of silence.

This morning, the weather is mostly cloudy, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 89 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and low temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery is shows a clouds over the northwest quadrant of the state, including some morning convection near the Four Corners area.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows deep moisture again today.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a humid atmosphere. There was 1.11 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. Much of the data from today’s sounding is missing. There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.3 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 22 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 18 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, humid weather, with sunny skies except for a few stations in the north, (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, variable flow.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows a scattered showers and thunderstorms, favoring the northwestern and west-central parts of the state.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows scattered rainfall over the northwestern half of the state.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 80s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 50s F today.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows cloudy skies over the northwestern half of the state today.

Today, there will be a chance of showers and storms, particularly over the northwestern half of the state. Coverage will not be as widespread as yesterday.

I will mess around with the car a bit this afternoon and may do some work in my yard.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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