Central New Mexico Weather: 6/17/22

Yesterday was mostly sunny, hot and a little breezy. There were showers and thunderstorms to my east, but none near me along my commute from Socorro to Rio Rancho.

This morning, the weather is clear, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 65 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph, becoming northeasterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 95 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming northerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 62 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, becoming southeasterly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 86 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Air Quality Alerts. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows scattered clouds over the southern third of the state, with some convection near the central mountain range.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows upper-level moisture is returning from the south.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows warm, moderately humid weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning. The RAP shows the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, bu no strong pressure gradients are expected over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, varied flow ahead of the next trough.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows scattered showers over the western half of the state, with storm motions to north.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows a showers are possible over the western half of the state.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 90s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will rise into the 50s F and stay there overnight.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible tomorrow afternoon and evening.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows skies will begin to cloud up in the afternoon.

Today will be sunny and hot, but monsoon season is upon us. Showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, and the temperatures will drop due to the cloud cover and rain-cooled air. We may see rain for the first time in months.

I will be working on campus again, and will spend most of the day inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.