Central New Mexico Weather: 6/16/22

Yesterday was mostly sunny, hot and a little breezy.

This morning, the weather is clear, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a 10% chance of thunderstorms and a high temperature of 98 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 15-25 mph, becoming southerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a 10% chance of thunderstorms and a high temperature of 99 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) increasing clouds, with a 10% chance of thunderstorms and a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 65 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Air Quality Alerts. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows the upper-level air is dry, with no major disturbances over the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows warm, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable. There is an strong dryline running north to south near the central mountain chain, and dewpoints are much more damp in the eastern half of the state.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning. The RAP shows the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, bu no strong pressure gradients are expected over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, varied flow ahead of the next trough.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows a few isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible in the late afternoon and evening.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows a few isolated showers are possible, particularly along the I-25 corridor.

The Nested NAM temperature chart predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 90s F.

The Nested NAM also predicts shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM dewpoint chart shows that the dewpoints will rise into the 50s F as the dryline pushes west.

The Nested NAM wind prediction chart shows strong winds are possible tomorrow afternoon and evening.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows skies will begin to cloud along the Rio Grande River Valley by the afternoon.

Today will be sunny and hot. Moisture will push into the state from the southeast, surging the dryline across the central mountain chain. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible with the increased moisture.

I will be working on campus again, and will spend most of the day inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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