Central New Mexico Weather: 5/24/22


Tomorrow, I will begin posting about storm chasing, as I am 90% sure I will leave to pick up my crew in the Northern Plains.

Yesterday was cloudy, mild and breezy in Rio Rancho and Socorro. It was downright cool when I arrived back in Rio Rancho last night. There were even a few drops of rain in Belen along my commute.

This morning, the weather is cloudy, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the north at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight. Rio Rancho is under a Red Flag Warning from 1 PM until 8 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph and gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the north at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph but then decreasing to 5-10 mph by midnight. Socorro is under a Red Flag Warning from 1 PM until 8 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph and gusting to 35 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 20-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph, but then decreasing 10-15 mph after midnight. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert and a Red Flag Warning from 1 PM until 8 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 35 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, becoming northeasterly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Air Quality Alerts as well as Fire Weather Watches posted for tomorrow. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for the western half of the state. Even though there was some increase in humidity, the weather is expected to dry out and be breezy this afternoon.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows mostly cloudy skies over the state this morning.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a stream of dry air pushing into the western half of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool, moderately humid weather, with a mix of sunny and cloudy skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows there is low pressure in the southeastern corner of the state, and slightly higher pressure east of the Colorado Rockies, placing us in a light pressure gradient. The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate to strong, northerly flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the eastern half of the state this afternoon.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is possible over most of the eastern half of the state, though the total amounts are not as high as from yesterday’s storms.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 70s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits in the western half of the state, tightening the dryline between them and the 30s and 40s F dewpoints in the east.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy, with the strongest winds in the western half of the state.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a mostly cloudy day for the eastern half of the state, but skies are expected to clear in the west.

Today will be mostly sunny, dry and windy west of the central mountain chain. In the east, the dryline will tighten, and there will be showers and thunderstorms.

I am prepping for storm chasing today by knocking out a few work-related items. I will set sail either tomorrow or early Thursday morning, I’m not sure which yet.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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