I will continue to post about New Mexico weather, as I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.
Yesterday was sunny, warm and breezy. It was quite smoky in Socorro.
This morning, the weather is sunny, mild and breezy in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 81 F. The winds will be from the south at 15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 47 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, becoming northeasterly after midnight. Rio Rancho is under a Wind Advisory from 9 PM until 6 AM tomorrow.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a smoky, sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with some patchy smoke and a low temperature of 49 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a smoky, sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with some patchy smoke and a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the southwest 15-20 mph, becoming southerly at 10-25 mph after midnight. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-25 mph , becoming easterly after midnight. Mountainair is under an Air Quality Alert.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Air Quality Alerts and High Wind Watches. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a shallow trough to our north.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a moderately humid atmosphere. There was 0.43 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2015 m. There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.2 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 31 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 66 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). A few stations are reporting clouds, but that is likely smoke.The winds are light and variable.
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are between the thermal low over western New Mexico and the high pressure over the eastern Colorado, with a steep gradient from northeast to southwest. The RAP shows we are expected to remain under low pressure for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today. The trough is expected to attenuate as it moves east.
The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show Cold Air Advection (CAA) pushing into the state from the east this evening and into tomorrow morning.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows little chance of showers and thunderstorms today. This, and the precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 80s F.
The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 50s F.
The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s and lower 20s F.
The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy, particularly this evening as the cold front passes.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds creeping in from the northeast due to the backdoor cold front.
Today will be sunny, hot and a little breezy. A potent backdoor cold front will push into the state, dropping temperatures unseasonably low, increasing the nighttime winds and bringing a few clouds. The northern mountains may see a little snow, but the NAM didn’t show a lot, so I excluded it from the post.
I will stay home today, but will probably go for a walk and may play in my garden.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD