Central New Mexico Weather: 5/19/22


I will continue to post about New Mexico weather, as I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.

Yesterday was sunny, warm and breezy. It was quite smoky in Socorro and Magdalena.

This morning, the weather is mostly sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph. Rio Rancho is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 95 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph This evening will be mostly clear, with some patchy smoke and a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, but then decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with some patchy smoke and a low temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the west 15-20 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph and gusting to 35 mph after midnight. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with patchy smoke and a low temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the southwest 15-25 mph. Mountainair is under an Air Quality Alert and a Fire Weather Watch from 12 PM until 10 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for parts of central New Mexico. This is due to the wildfire smoke. There are also a few Fire Weather Watches and Red Flag Warnings, some of which are in place for tomorrow. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for most of the state today.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows no remarkable features.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). A few stations are reporting clouds, but that is likely smoke.The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under slightly lower pressure due to a low pressure system that is developing over the northern Great Plains. The RAP shows the low will deepen and strengthen the pressure gradient from southwest to northeast across the state over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northerly flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows little chance of showers and thunderstorms today. This, and the precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s and lower 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy, adding to the fire weather threat.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today should be sunny, hot and a little breezy. Once again, the fire weather risk today and tomorrow is the dominant weather feature. As the low strengthens in the northern plains, it will help increase the pressure gradient force through the states, increasing the wind speeds over dry fuels and low humidity.

I will commute to Socorro and back, but will largely remain indoors today.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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