Central New Mexico Weather: 5/18/22


I will continue to post about New Mexico weather, as I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.

Yesterday was sunny, warm and breezy. It was quite smoky in Socorro.

This morning, the weather is mostly sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northerly after midnight. Rio Rancho is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 92 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the west 10-15 mph. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 53 F. The winds will be from the southwest 5-15 mph. Mountainair is under an Air Quality Alert and a Fire Weather Watch from 12 PM until 8 PM. Mountainair is under an Air Quality Alert.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for parts of central New Mexico. This is due to the wildfire smoke. There are also a few Fire Weather Watches in place later this week. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a low amplitude trough moving east through California and Arizona.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). A few stations are reporting clouds, but that is likely smoke.The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows no strong pressure systems or gradients. The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows little chance of showers and thunderstorms today. This, and the precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s and 20s F, with a dryline running through the eastern third of the state.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy, but not damaging. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today should be sunny, hot and a little breezy. There may be a few showers and thunderstorms in the northeastern corner of the state, as there is a Marginal Risk for severe weather in this area. However, it will be the exception, and the rest of the state will be hot, dry and potentially smoky.

I will commute to Magdalena and back, but will largely remain indoors today.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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