Central New Mexico Weather: 5/16/22


The severe weather pattern has settled down a little in the Great Plains, so I will probably post about New Mexico until things ramp back up. I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still. I spent a little time working in my garden. A few clouds drifted in just in time for the lunar eclipse.

This morning, the weather is mostly sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 97 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15-25 mph, becoming northwesterly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 89 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F. The winds will be west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 10-15 mph, becoming southwesterly at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the southwest 15-25 mph, becoming westerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for parts of central New Mexico. This is due to the wildfire smoke. There are also a few Red Flag Warnings in place. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight Risk for severe weather over the Eastern Plains of New Mexico today. The primary threats will be wind and hail, though lightning strikes could lead to more wildfires, given the strong winds.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows a small disturbance, pushing a little upper-level moisture into the region.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows low pressure over the western part of the state, with a slight pressure gradient from east to west. The RAP shows pressure dropping everywhere due to diurnal heating, weakening the pressure gradient.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light to moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows a few storms firing by 19 Z, largely west of the I-25 corridor. The cells remain discrete until the evening.

A little precipitation is possible this evening associated with these storms.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 60s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dryline will run just east of the central mountain chain.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be breezy today.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds are possible this afternoon and evening.

Today should be sunny, hot and breezy. A few afternoon thunderstorms are possible, though they will remain over the Eastern Plains.

I am behind on a ton of projects so I will probably be inside most of the day. I will commute to and from Socorro, and that will be a warm ride on the bus.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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