Central New Mexico Weather: 5/15/22


The severe weather pattern has settled down a little in the Great Plains, so I will probably post about New Mexico until things ramp back up. I won’t be chasing storms for several days at least.

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.

This morning, the weather is mostly sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 92 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming easterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 95 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 49 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 53 F. The winds will be south at 5-15 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 49 F. The winds will be from the southwest 5-15 mph, becoming northeasterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for parts of central New Mexico. This is due to the wildfire smoke. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows southwesterly flow, and dry air aloft.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.19 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. The was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was missing. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 16 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 22 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows mild, dry weather, with sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable, circling gently around a thermal low over the Eastern Plains of New Mexico.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients at this time. The RAP shows this trend is expected to continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows a few, light showers are possible in northeastern New Mexico this afternoon.

A little precipitation is possible this evening in the northeastern corner of the state.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the single digits today.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be relatively calm today. The winds may get gusty this evening in the northeastern corner of the state.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds are possible this afternoon and evening.

Today should be sunny, warm and calm. It will be a beautiful day.

I am behind on a ton of projects so I will probably be inside and outside today. I need to work in the garden and I need to get a few things square for work as well. It will be hot, and just the way things are going, I will probably spend the hot part of the day outside instead of inside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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