Yesterday was warm and sunny in Las Cruces, NM. It was a pleasant day, and we drove between places during our event with the windows down.
This morning has been sunny, mild and still.
From the NWS in El Paso, TX: last night’s back door cold front brought cool continental air to the region. Today’s high temperatures will be a few degrees below average and dewpoints will be extremely low. Skies will remain clear and sunny.
The NWS in El Paso, TX, forecasts (for Las Cruces, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 7-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be southeast at 5-7 mph, becoming northeast midnight.
The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows nothing remarkable over the region.
The 12Z upper air sounding from El Paso, TX, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 4117 m. There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.2 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 7 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 35 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity. The skies are sunny(according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.
The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that high pressure has settled over the area, with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state.
The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart and 24-hr precipitation chart show no showers or thunderstorms. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures will peak in the mid 70s F today.
The low temperature is predicted to be in the lower 40s F just before sunrise tomorrow.
The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 30s F for most of the day.
The Nested NAM shows that strong gusts are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today looks to be warm, sunny and still. It looks like a great day to be outdoors, though I may not get much chance to be outside, unfortunately.
Thank you for reading my post.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD