Central New Mexico Weather: 3/9/22


Yesterday was mostly sunny and cool in Socorro.

This morning, the weather is mostly sunny, cold and still here in Socorro. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day and a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 30 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 28 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for the southeastern half of the state today. Broad, cyclonic flow will increase the wind speeds this afternoon, prompting the issuance of the risk.

The visible satellite imagery shows only a few light clouds over the state. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows that the jetstream has pushed southeast.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a moderately humid atmosphere. There was 0.15 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1618 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 4.9 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 14 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 55 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold, extremely dry weather. The skies are mostly sunny, with a few clouds in the north, (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning. The RAP shows this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate northwesterly to zonal flow over the state.

The NAM 850 mb temperature chart shows a back door cold front nosing south into the state from the northeast.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity shows convection some convection along the northernmost mountains.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows that light precipitation is restrained to high elevations in the northern part of the state.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s F.

The Nested NAM shows breezy conditions all day.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few clouds over the northern mountains, but then increased cloudiness across the northern half of the state by this evening.

Today will be cool and breezy. The low humidity at the surface and the breezy conditions have prompted a Critical Fire Weather Risk in the southwestern half of the state.

I will return to Rio Rancho from Magdalena this evening, but probably won’t spend much time outside.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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