Yesterday was cool and sunny in Socorro and Magdalena.
This morning, the weather is mostly sunny and cool in Rio Rancho. My weather station in Rio Rancho says:
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph and gusting to 30 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph by midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear with a low temperature of 25 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph, and gusting to 35 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 24 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-20 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 21 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming easterly by midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque has issued several high wind products for the eastern part of the state. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery shows a few, light clouds over the state this morning.
The upper-level water vapor imagery shows moisture aloft has increased from yesterday, and is nearly uniform over the state this morning.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a moderately humid atmosphere, with a nearly-saturated layer at 500 mb. There was 0.36 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1146 m. There was a small but thick thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.1 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 18 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 59 kts (due mostly to speed changes).
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cool, dry weather. The skies are sunny, with the exception of two stations in south-central New Mexico, and the winds are light and variable.
The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under no strong pressure system, but developing low pressure over the Texas Panhandle has increased the pressure gradient from west to east this morning. The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong, northwesterly flow over the state today.
The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show Cold Air Advection (CAA) over the eastern part of the state this evening.
The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few very light echoes over the eastern part of the state as a back door cold front sinks through the Eastern Plains this evening.
The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows precipitation is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 50s F.
The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 30s F.
The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F.
The Nested NAM shows strong winds are likely, reaching their highest peak in the northeastern corner of the state tonight, but the Albuquerque Metro region will be windy this afternoon.
The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few light clouds this afternoon and evening.
Today will be sunny but still a little cool. A back door cold front sagging southward through the Eastern Plains will kick up a few clouds and maybe even a sprinkle or two at the higher elevations in this region. For the Albuquerque Metro area, the winds will be strongest throughout the day, tapering off in the evening.
I will be inside for the most part today, but will go for a walk this evening. I was debating making a trip to the junkyard, but the winds will be lighter on Sunday and Monday, so that makes a better time to visit.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD