Central New Mexico Weather: 10/29/21


Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny, and still. I remained inside most of the day, though I did walk to the bus first thing in the morning.

This morning, Socorro has been sunny, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming light and variable after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 39 F. The winds will be from the south at 10 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows light moisture has returned in the wake of the mid-latitude cyclone.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.31 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1400 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.7 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 7 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 18 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold temperatures, dry dewpoints, and sunny skies (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map shows we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradients. The RAP shows this pressure is expected to decrease due to diurnal heating over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows variable winds aloft as a low-amplitude ridge passes through the state.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection today. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 60s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F and lower 30s F.

The Nested NAM shows winds will be light today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny and a bit warmer than yesterday. The breeze has diminished and we are setting up for a great weekend.

I will be inside for most of the day, though I will commute back to Rio Rancho this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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