Central New Mexico Weather: 10/13/21


Yesterday was a mild, mostly sunny and windy. I stayed inside most of the day. We had our first freeze in Rio Rancho last night.

This morning, Socorro is sunny, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 37 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 36 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 32 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 31 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Freeze Warnings and Hard Freeze Warnings that will expire this morning. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor imagery shows moisture circulating around the upper-level low pressure system which has now drifted northeast into the Dakotas. The system is pulling dry air from the southwest.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.25 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1005 m. There was no thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 4.1 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 18 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 68 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Surface Map shows cold temperatures, moderately-dry dewpoints, and sunny skies generally, with a few northern stations reporting cloud cover (according to the sensors). The winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pressure Map is unavailable at this time.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) has stopped, though there is still a strong thermal gradient over the state. Even so, I have excluded these charts from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM precipitation chart shows rain is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the lower 60s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows high winds are possible all day in the northern part of the state.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will have below average temperatures and sunny, clear skies. The winds will remain light for most of the state, through there will still be some windy conditions in the north.

I will spend most of my day inside, though I may commute back to Rio Rancho this evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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