Central New Mexico Weather: 6/10/21


Yesterday was hot, mostly sunny, and still.

This morning, Socorro was warm, mostly sunny and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 95 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 60 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-105 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight. Rio Rancho is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 101 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 94 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for the smoke that is drifting into the state from the wildfires in Arizona. They have also issued a Red Flag Warning for the northwestern corner of the state and an Heat Advisory for the southeastern plains.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few, high clouds, particularly over the eastern edge of the state this morning.

The upper-level water vapor loop shows some light, southwesterly flow, bringing with it upper-level moisture from the Pacific.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.22 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 3186 m. There was a large inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.9 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 8 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 37 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map shows warm temperatures and very low humidity. The skies are sunny, (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but that no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows varied flow, as an upper-level high pressure system swirls over Mexico.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show very little thermal advection. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely this afternoon. This chart, the HRRR simulated reflectivity chart concurs. These, plus the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 60s F by tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s F and lower 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows no strong winds today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny and hot for most of the state. Smoke continues to drift in from Arizona, reducing visibility and air quality. The temperatures will be at or near record highs today. The NWS is a bit more bullish on the cloud cover this evening than the NAM is showing, which may retain some of today’s heat and boost temperatures a bit tomorrow if that comes to fruition.

I will probably spend most of the day indoors, but I will spend some time moving furniture from one building to another this afternoon and evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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