Central New Mexico Weather: 6/8/21


Yesterday was hot, mostly sunny, and still.

This morning, Socorro was warm, mostly sunny and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 92 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight. Rio Rancho is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 96 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight. Socorro is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 89 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. Magdalena is under an Air Quality Alert for smoke.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for the smoke that is drifting into the state from the wildfires in Arizona.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The upper-level water vapor loop shows zonal flow. You can see dry, upper-level air moving into the state from Arizona.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.32 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 3384 m. There was a tiny inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.9 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 18 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 30 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map shows warm temperatures and low humidity. The skies are sunny, (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but that no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows varied flow, as an upper-level high pressure system begins to from over northern Mexico.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show very little thermal advection. These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely this afternoon. This chart, the HRRR simulated reflectivity chart concurs. These, plus the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the mid 90s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 60s F by tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 20s F and upper 10s F.

The Nested NAM shows no strong winds today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few, light clouds forming over central New Mexico this afternoon.

Today will be sunny and hot for most of the state. The dryline has moved much farther east, and is expected to remain so for the next few days. Smoke continues to drift in from Arizona, reducing visibility and air quality.

I will probably spend most of the day indoors, but I will spend some time moving furniture from one building to another this afternoon and evening.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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