Central New Mexico Weather: 2/23/21


Yesterday, Socorro was mild, sunny and still.

This morning, Socorro has been mostly sunny, cool, and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Today will continue to bring warm, dry, sunny weather. Along with the dry air will be some breeze, however. A lee-side low is expected to develop over the TX/OK panhandles, though deep mixing is not showing up in the models. Windy conditions, and lots of blowing dust can be expected at high elevations and east of the central mountain range.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 31 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 32 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 30 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 29 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several wind advisories, as dry, windy conditions will impact the area this afternoon. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows a few light clouds over the center of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.20 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 781 m. There was a moderate, surface thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 1.3 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 10 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 21 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low relative humidity. The skies are sunny, (according to the sensors) and winds are still.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under a high pressure system, with a moderate pressure gradient from west to east. The RAP shows a lee-side low pressure system developing over the TX/OK panhandles over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show some Cold Air Advection (CAA). The 850 mb chart shows a backdoor cold front creeping into the state tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation is unlikely today. This, the precipitation chart and snow charts have all been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 50s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 30s F by tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will rise into the lower 30s F this evening.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are possible along and east of the central mountain range.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows sunny skies today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be mild, sunny and breezy.

I am inside most of the day today, but I will make it a point to get out and walk around between events.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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