Central New Mexico Weather: 11/9/20


Yesterday was warm, sunny and breezy.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been cool, mostly sunny and breezy.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A deep trough and upper-level low pressure system are approaching the state today from the west. Ahead of the trough, strong, gusty winds will be the dominant weather feature, though snow is possible, particularly at high elevations in the northwestern corner of the state. Temperatures will be much cooler, as this system moves through the region.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, becoming westerly this afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow showers (no accumulation) and a high temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the south at 15-25 mph, becoming westerly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 21 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a partly sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow (no accumulation) and a high temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 20-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 19 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook, Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings, particularly in the eastern part of the state. There are also a few winter weather products in the northwestern corner of the state. NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows a few light clouds over the center of the state, and some thicker clouds lingering over the northwestern corner.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an slight inverted-v shape, with a nearly-saturated layer near 600 mb. There was 0.26 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1738 m. There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 26 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 92 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and moderate relative humidity.  The skies are sunny, with a few stations reporting clouds, (according to the sensors) and winds are light to moderate and from the southwest.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under low pressure with no strong pressure gradients at this time. The RAP shows the pressure will remain low for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very strong, southwesterly flow over the state, as the trough approaches from the west.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show a cold front approaching from the west.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few showers, particularly in the northwestern corner of the state.

The Nested NAM simulated precipitation chart shows rain is possible. This chart shows rain through 12 Z tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will reach the upper 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows the low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s F by tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop from the mid 30s F into the teens later this evening.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are possible, particularly along the central mountain range and eastern plains.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows increasing cloud cover throughout the afternoon.

Today will be windy and cool. Higher elevations may see a flurry or two, but we will see very little precipitation at all in the Albuquerque Metro area.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website. The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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