Central New Mexico Weather: 10/17/20

Yesterday, Rio Rancho was pleasant. It was sunny, mild and still. We had a really nice drive to Ruidoso in the evening.

This morning, Ruidoso has been sunny, cool and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Continued dry, northwesterly flow will keep conditions warm and dry today. Winds will be breezy in some locations, due to deep mixing, raising the wildfire thread in the eastern half of the state today.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the west 5-10 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. The winds will be from the west 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be clear, and a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. There is a Red Flag Warning in place from 12 PM until 8 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Ruidoso, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low tempereature of 49 F. Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for parts of the Eastern Plains and Central Mountain Chain. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk for a ring in the Eastern Plains of New Mexico.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.25 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1282 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.0 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 18 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 35 kts (due to mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and winds are still.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows we are under no strong pressure system, but there is a tight gradient along the northern edge of the state.  The RAP shows that pressure will drop with diurnal heating, and the pressure gradient is expected to weaken.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, northwesterly to zonal flow aloft.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart, and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will peak in the lower 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are possible near the central mountain range today.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be pleasant, and we will go for another drive today, and go camping tonight.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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