Central New Mexico Weather: 10/16/20

Yesterday, Socorro was pleasant. It was sunny, mild and still.

This morning, Rio Rancho has been sunny, cool and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A backdoor cold front has lowered temperatures a few degrees over the eastern half of the state and into the Rio Grande River Valley. Temperatures are slightly below normal, except in the west, and no precipitation is expected today.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming light and variable in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the south 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southeasterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F. The winds will be from the southwest 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, and a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1652 m. There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.7 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 30 kts (due to mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and winds are still.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows we are under high pressure, with a moderate pressure gradients radiating from the northeastern corner of the state.  The RAP shows that pressure will drop with diurnal heating, and the pressure gradient is expected to shift and tighten over the northern part of the state.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow aloft.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today. These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart, and the precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 70s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 40s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will peak in the lower 30s F this evening.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be pleasant, and we will go for a drive later today.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage. The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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