Central New Mexico Weather: 9/13/20

Yesterday, Rio Rancho was mostly sunny and hazy, but pleasant in temperature and still.

This morning, Rio Rancho is sunny, mild, with a northeasterly breeze.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  High pressure over Nevada is expected to shift and expand, keeping us in dry weather.  There is a shortwave trough overhead, but not enough moisture or lift for it to be of any consequence.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming northeasterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, but hazy day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming easterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 51 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a hazy, but mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming easterly in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming westerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a hazy, but mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 47 F. The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows clear skies over most of the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows that the atmosphere continues to dry out. There was 0.39 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1400 m. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.7 C/km. The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 14 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 27 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and high humidity.  The skies are cloudy (according to the sensors) and winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradient.  The RAP shows that pressure conditions are expected to remain the same for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, southwesterly flow over the state today, as a low-amplitude, shortwave trough moves through the state.

The NAM 700 mb and 850 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today.  These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows no further shower or thunderstorm development today.  The simulated reflectivity and precipitation charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 80s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 30s F all day.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are not expected today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows clear skies by this afternoon.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

It looks to be a pleasant day, and I’m trying to decide what to do after I go for a run.  Either way, I will be doing some work outside, and it’s just a matter of which vehicle will I work on.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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