Central New Mexico Weather: 7/30/20

Yesterday was sunny, hot and still.

This morning, the weather has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  With dry air in place, showers and thunderstorms are unlikely for most of the state today.  A backdoor cold front will sag southward into the Eastern Plains, which may produce a few isolated showers and thunderstorms this evening and overnight.  These storms will be limited to the very eastern edge of the state.  Elsewhere, temperatures will be much higher and dewpoints much lower throughout the day.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature around 99 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 67 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of around 101 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 92 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming easterly midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming easterly after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a much drier atmosphere today as compared to yesterday.  There was 0.48 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1798 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 5 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 26 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures with high humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart show light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show a backdoor cold front approaching from the northeast by late this evening.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows a few isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Eastern Plains this evening and into the morning hours.

Precipitation will favor the Eastern Plains, with most of the state receiving no rain.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 90s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 60s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints are expected to drop from the mid 40s F to the mid 20s F by this afternoon.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few overnight clouds associated with the storms that form along the backdoor cold front.

Today will be hot, though the humidity will steadily decrease throughout the day.  I have to finish moving things from an apartment today; it will be hot, but at least it won’t be windy or rainy.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions and tagged , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.