Central New Mexico Weather: 6/30/20

Yesterday was sunny, hot and breezy.  In the evening, it cooled down, so I went for a walk.

This morning, the weather has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  The upper level trough will move through the state, bringing with it a surface cold front.  This will lower the temperature and dewpoint a few degrees.  The surface winds will increase with deep mixing and the strengthening pressure gradient.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.  There is a Red Flag Warning in place until 6:00 PM.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a few Red Flag Warnings and some Air Quality Alerts.  Critical Fire Weather is possible along the I-40 corridor.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather Risk along the a speed max though the center of New Mexico.  As an upper-level low in the northern Rockies becomes an open wave, a speed max will rotate through New Mexico, creating deep mixing and a stronger pressure gradient at the surface.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures with low humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under low pressure with a slight pressure gradient from southwest to northeast.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, intensifying the pressure gradient from southwest to northeast.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very light, zonal flow over the state.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show Cold Advection (CAA) from west to east.  The wind blows across the thermal gradient from cool to warm.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows very little chance of showers or thunderstorms today.  This chart, and the precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 80s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 60s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop from the 30s F into the 20s F this afternoon.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm, sunny and breezy.  It will be a few degrees cooler and drier than yesterday, thanks to the cold front.

I realized yesterday, for no apparent reason, I misread the wind barbs, which is why I thought there’d be WAA instead of CAA.  Not sure why I did that.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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