Central New Mexico Weather: 6/20/20

Yesterday was sunny, hot and smoky.  The smoke started to clear out by the evening, and we could see the mountain again.

This morning, the weather has been smoky, mild and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  The dewpoint has risen with the passage of the backdoor cold front.  Southeasterly surface winds have limited the ground-level smoke this morning, though westerly and southwesterly winds may bring it back this afternoon.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny and smoky day, with a high temperature of 91 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming northerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny and smoky day, with a high temperature of 95 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwesterly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny and smoky day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the west at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny and smoky day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued an Air Quality Alert for the smoke that has drifted into the state from Arizona.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows a few light clouds over the eastern third of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a slightly more humid atmosphere as compared to yesterday.  There was 0.44 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was 702 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), -293 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1002 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.6 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 13 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 36 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures with high humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems and gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very light, southwesterly flow over the state.

The NAM 850 mb and 700 mb charts show no strong thermal advection over the state today.  These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely over the Rio Grande River Valley today.  The simulated reflectivity chart and the simulated precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 90s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 60s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the upper 10s F and lower 20s F all day today.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows very few clouds over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm and sunny. It is more humid today than yesterday.

I am watching a potential chase tomorrow.  There is an enhanced risk at the central OK/KS border.

The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.