Central New Mexico Weather: 5/22/20

Yesterday was sunny, mild and pleasant.  I ended up spending most of the day inside, though we did some work at a storage unit in the late afternoon, and I did go for a walk in the evening.

This morning, the weather has been mild, sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  An upper-level disturbance is exiting the state, leaving behind warm, extremely dry weather.   Southwesterly flow will increase throughout the day.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming westerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 51 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, becoming westerly at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 81 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 15-20 mph.  This evening be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for the eastern half of New Mexico today.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.10 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 3140 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 4.9 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 16 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 33 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light zonal flow.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This, and the simulated precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 80s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid 50s F right around sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain the single digits today.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared chart shows a few light clouds drifting over the state later this morning.

It should be a really pleasant day.  I will work in the garden for a bit, and probably go for a run sometime today.  I do have meetings from 1-4:30 today, so I’ll be indoors for the hottest part of the day.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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