Central New Mexico Weather: 3/22/20

Yesterday was partly sunny, mild and still.  In the afternoon, it rained, and there was even some small hail, then it cleared up in the evening.

This morning, the weather has been mild, partly sunny and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A ridge of dry air will move east through the state today, which will lead to above average temperatures and no precipitation.  The dry air may lead to a fire weather threat later this week.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph, becoming southerly in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the west at 15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows high clouds streaming across the state from west to east in a zonal flow pattern.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.16 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 885 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 21 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 75 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows we are under  high pressure, with a slight pressure gradient from southwest to northeast.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating and the gradient will weaken over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This, and the simulated precipitation chart have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 60s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the mid 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds will be unlikely today.

The Nested NAM simulated infrared cloud cover chart shows a band of clouds streaming across the northern half of the state for a good part of the day.   The skies will be mostly cloudy by tomorrow morning.

Today will hopefully be more pleasant than yesterday.  I will go for a run here in a few minutes and then work in the garden for a bit.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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