Central New Mexico Weather: 1/14/20

Yesterday was sunny, mild and a little breezy.

This morning, the weather has been mostly clear, cold, and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Synoptically speaking, there is zonal flow and a surface low over southern Colorado.  Temperatures will be above average.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 23 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming northwest at 5 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for parts of the northeastern plains of New Mexico.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds near White Sands, but otherwise clear skies over the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1019 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.2 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 25 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 57 kts (due to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that there is a high pressure system over northwestern New Mexico, and a slight gradient from west to east.  The RAP shows that the high pressure and the pressure gradient will decrease with diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very strong zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation is unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity, precipitation and snow charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 50s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 30s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will rise from the teens to the mid-20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are possible, especially close to the central mountain range and over the eastern plains.

The Nested NAM shows that skies will remain mostly clear.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, mild and maybe a little breezy.  It will be warmer than average, and generally a pleasant day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.