Central New Mexico Weather: 1/12/20

Yesterday was sunny, cool and still.  It would have been a pleasant day, but the temperature was still low.

This morning, the weather has been sunny, cold, and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  One system is exiting the region, while another one is poised to enter tomorrow.  Today should be sunny and cold, between the two systems.  Another fast moving storm system will enter the state tomorrow, but is moisture-starved and will not lead to much, if any precipitation.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southerly this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph, becoming southwesterly this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Mountainair, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 24 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a nearly-saturated layer from 700 mb to 500 mb.  There was 0.23 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1123 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.6 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 24 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 72 kts (due to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows a high pressure over southern Colorado, with a slight pressure gradient from west to east for the northern tier of NM counties.  Central NM is under no strong pressure systems or gradients so far this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease and the gradient will weaken with diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation is unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity, precipitation and snow charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 40s F.

The low temperatures are expected to drop into the lower 30s F right before sunrise tomorrow morning.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will vary between the upper teens and lower 20s F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are possible this morning, but they will taper off towards evening.

The Nested NAM shows that skies will remain mostly clear.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be sunny, cool and still.  We will be going on a small adventure to Mountainair today, so it will be a little windier there.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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