Central New Mexico Weather: 11/4/19

Yesterday was a sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho.

The weather is mostly sunny, cool and still so far this morning in Rio Rancho.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Moisture is advecting into the state from the south, and while the daylight hours will remain dry, there will be scattered showers in the evening.  A low over Baja California will travel east this evening, bringing with it wet weather.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with high temperatures in the upper 60s F.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperatures in the upper 30s F.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with high temperatures in the lower 70s F.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with scattered showers in the early morning hours, and low temperatures in the lower 40s F.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with high temperatures in the upper 60s F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with scattered showers late this evening and low temperatures in the upper 30s F.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning a decent rain event this evening and through the early morning hours tomorrow.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.17 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2293 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.6 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 11 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 26 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and extremely low surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no further thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and precipitation are unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity and precipitation charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 60s F today.

The low temperatures will be in the upper 40s F just before sunrise.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s F all day.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts clear skies today and tonight.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be similar to yesterday in terms of temperature, moisture and wind.  Moisture will increase tonight.  Interestingly enough, the NAM does not have the showers arriving until tomorrow morning.  We will see how this plays out.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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1 Response to Central New Mexico Weather: 11/4/19

  1. Pingback: Central New Mexico Weather: 11/4/19 — highplainschasing – Gist Place

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