Central New Mexico Weather: 11/3/19

Yesterday was a sunny, mild and still in Rio Rancho.

The weather is mostly sunny, cool and still so far this morning in Rio Rancho.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  The temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than average, but dry, clear air will dominate.  The northeastern corner of the state will see a backdoor cold front, which will drop temperatures in this area.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 36 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.18 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1922 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 21 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 23 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and extremely low surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows some weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) over the northeastern corner of the state later this evening.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and precipitation are unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity and precipitation charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 60s F today.

The low temperatures will be in the upper 30s F just before sunrise.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s F all day.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts clear skies today and tonight.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be similar to yesterday in terms of temperature, moisture and wind.  I will probably remain inside for most of the day, however.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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