Central New Mexico Weather: 11/2/19

Yesterday was a sunny, cool and still in Socorro.

The weather is clear, cold and still so far this morning in Rio Rancho.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  A dry, backdoor cold front has moved through the area, dropping the temperatures a few degrees.  However, there is very little moisture, so precipitation is highly unlikely.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming calm in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 33 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west by midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows a few light clouds over the southeastern corner of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.18 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1009 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 1.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 6 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 22 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure and a slight pressure gradient this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows Cold Air Advection (CAA), the backdoor cold front has stalled and will weaken in the next few hours.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and precipitation are unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity and precipitation charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 50s F today.

The low temperatures will be in the upper 30s F just before sunrise.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will rise into the lower 20s F this evening.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts sunny skies all day and clear skies all night.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be similar to yesterday in terms of temperature, moisture and wind.  I will  probably do a little work outside today, just to enjoy the outdoors.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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