Central New Mexico Weather: 10/31/19

Happy Halloween!

Yesterday was a sunny, cold and breezy in Socorro and Magdalena.

The weather is clear, cold and still so far this morning in Rio Rancho and Albuquerque.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Record cold temperatures have been recorded in several places this morning.  However, once the sun rises, the temperatures will warm up just slightly warmer than yesterday.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an incredibly dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.05 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2149 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 0.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 11 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 25 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and extremely low surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no new thermal advection today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows showers and precipitation are unlikely today.  The simulated reflectivity and precipitation charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 40s F today.

The low temperature were in the lower 20s F just before sunrise.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will peak at 3 F.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts sunny skies all day and clear skies all night.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

I’m not thrilled about early winter.  Bundle up if you go out trick-or-treating tonight, and make sure the kids are bundled up.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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