Central New Mexico Weather: 10/11/19

Yesterday was a sunny, mild and windy day.  The evening turned quite chilly.

Today is mostly sunny, cold and still.  We had our first freeze last night.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  the cold front has passed, leaving behind much cooler temperatures.  The winds have diminished, and today is expected to be clear and cool.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 37 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 36 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning a freezing temperatures for many locations again tonight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows cold, extremely dry air over the state this morning.  There was 0.04 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2623 m.  There was a tiny, elevated thermal inversion and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 2.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 66 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and very low surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with the strongest pressure gradient over the western edge of the state.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop and the gradient will weaken with diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows that storms and precipitation are unlikely.  This, and the precipitation chart are excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 50s F today.

The temperature is expected to drop into the lower 30s F before sunrise.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits by this evening.

The Nested NAM shows strong winds will be unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts mostly clear skies today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

This is probably the end of my garden.  I was able to disconnect my hoses last night and pick the last of the vegetables.  I have some work to do around campus today and will be in and out a lot; thankfully, I did bring a real coat.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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