Central New Mexico Weather: 10/7/19

Yesterday was sunny, mild and still.  I went for a run and did some yard work, so I got to enjoy the outdoors for a bit.

Today is clear, cool and still.  It feels like a fall day, and the balloonists probably appreciate it.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Yesterday’s back door cold front will continue to push west, bringing cooler temperatures over the entire state by this afternoon.  A weak, shortwave ridge will build over the state, keeping the air stable.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming south this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows clear skies over New Mexico.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, is unavailable at this time.

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and moderate surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradients so far this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will remain high, with no strong pressure gradients expected over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows very little thermal advection by this afternoon.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows precipitation and thunderstorms are highly unlikely today.  This chart, and the precipitation chart, have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 70s F today.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 30s F all day today.

The Nested NAM shows that strong winds are unlikely today.  The canyon winds will calm down in the early morning.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts very few clouds this evening.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

It should be quite a pleasant fall day for the balloonists.  I won’t watch more than a few go up here at sunrise along my commute, but it will be a good day to be outdoors.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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