Central New Mexico Weather: 9/5/19

Yesterday was hot and moderately humid.  There were a few clouds by the evening here in Socorro, but no rain.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still. There is some smoke on the horizon.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Very little change from yesterday.  An upper-level high will linger over the Four Corners region, causing near-record breaking heat.  Dry air remains over the state, limiting the chances for showers and thunderstorms.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 93 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 64 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning a isolated showers and thunderstorms that will be possible over the northern high terrain.   Also, near-record heat is possible across the northwestern part of the state.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the Rio Grande River Valley today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows that the atmosphere has dried out considerably, as compared to yesterday.  There was 0.58 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1901 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.9 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 13 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 13 kts (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and moderate surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, but no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows very light, southwest winds aloft.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM simulated reflectivity chart shows very few isolated showers and thunderstorms this evening, with virtually no precipitation.  These charts have been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 90s F today.

The Nested NAM shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 40s F.

The Nested NAM shows that strong gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Nested NAM predicts very few clouds over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today, we will have a sunny, hot and still day. Precipitation is unlikely.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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