Central New Mexico Weather: 8/12/19

Yesterday was warm, cloudy and humid.  We had a good, soaking rain in Albuquerque and Rio Rancho.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  Drier air has drifted in behind a disturbance, breaking the monsoonal pattern for a few days.  This drier air will limit showers and thunderstorms to very isolated cells in the high terrain.  A few stronger storms are possible in the northeastern part of the state today, as the disturbance exits and a weak back door cold front drifts southward through the region.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 94 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph,.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the possibility of thunderstorms this evening, with heavy rainfall as the primary threat.  Storms will favor the northeastern corner of the state, where they will approach severe limits, with small hail and outflow winds gusting to 50 mph.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a humid atmosphere.  There was 1.02 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was 487 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), -152 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 372 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 17 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 20 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and high surface humidity.  The skies are a sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are still.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected to develop.

The entire College of DuPage weather lab page is down, so I do not have model data this morning.

It is warm and humid in the morning, but I do expect it to dry out by this afternoon.

It is the first day of the fall semester for Magdalena Schools, and next week will be the first day for NMT.  In some ways, it feels like fall, only warmer.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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