Central New Mexico Weather: 6/25/19

Yesterday was warm and sunny.  I barely made it outside, again.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

From the NWS in Albuquerque, NM:  the upper level high continues to build, and moisture will be drawn farther west into the state.  Today will be hot and dry, though the increasing moisture may bring showers and thunderstorms to most of the state later this week.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 92 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 96 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 63 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 87 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the smoke from the two wildfires in New Mexico.  There is also the possibility of an isolated thunderstorm in eastern New Mexico later today.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.33 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2909 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 6 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 17 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows warm temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  There is a sharp dryline that runs just east of the central mountain chain, with dewpoints in the 10s F on the west side and the 60s F on the east side.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that there is a possibility of isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the low-90s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop continue to drop throughout the day.

The HRRR shows that strong gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts a few clouds over the Albuquerque Metro area this afternoon and evening.

It will be warm, sunny and dry today.  Perhaps I will get outside for a bit, but probably not, yet again today.  Too much on my plate.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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